New Mexico St at W Kentucky: Recap
Saturday Nov 1, 2025 3:30 pm -
Bowling Green, KY
Odds:
Western Kentucky by 7.5,
Total Points:
53.5
Matchup Menu: NMSU @ WKU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W Kentucky | NMSU | 26.7% | ||
| WKU | 73.3% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +7.5 | NMSU | 50.5% | ||
| WKU | 49.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 | Over | 45.0% | ||
| Under | 55.0% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | NMSU | -2.7% | ||
| WKU | -1.7% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 22.0 | 21 | 23.0 | 16 |
| WKU | 29.4 | 28 | 30.5 | 35 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NMSU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Points/Play | 0.275 | 0.214 |
| Rush Play % | 44.41% | 47.23% |
| Pass Play % | 55.59% | 52.77% |
| Completion % | 54.65% | 57.98% |
| 3D Conv % | 38.46% | 39.08% |
| RZ Scoring % | 90.91% | 76.92% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NMSU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 6.9 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.393 | 0.646 |
| Opp Completion % | 66.67% | 60.77% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 41.89% | 33.90% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 92.31% | 100.00% |