New Mexico St at Liberty: Recap
Tuesday Oct 14, 2025 7:00 pm -
Lynchburg, VA
Odds:
Liberty by 10.5,
Total Points:
48.5
Matchup Menu: NMSU @ LIB
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | NMSU | 23.6% | ||
| LIB | 76.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +10.5 | NMSU | 53.5% | ||
| LIB | 46.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 48.5 | Over | 47.4% | ||
| Under | 52.6% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +327 | NMSU | +0.2% | ||
| LIB | -4.2% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 19.1 | 20 | 19.0 | 27 |
| LIB | 28.7 | 30 | 29.5 | 30 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NMSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 6.5 |
| Points/Play | 0.275 | 0.502 |
| Rush Play % | 44.41% | 64.31% |
| Pass Play % | 55.59% | 35.69% |
| Completion % | 54.65% | 62.96% |
| 3D Conv % | 38.46% | 50.82% |
| RZ Scoring % | 90.91% | 87.50% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NMSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.393 | 0.231 |
| Opp Completion % | 66.67% | 54.68% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 41.89% | 26.67% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 92.31% | 63.64% |