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Fiesta Bowl Playoff Semifinal: Miami vs. Mississippi: Point Spread Line Movement

Thursday Jan 8, 2026 7:30 pm - Glendale, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Miami by 3, Total Points: 52.5

More Games From Bowl Week
MIA -3.0 Open -3.0 High -3.5
Last -3.5 Low -3.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 105 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:

  • The team like Miami won the game 58 times (55.2%).
  • The team like Mississippi won the game 47 times (44.8%).
  • The team like Mississippi did better against the spread, going 53-50-2 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 college football season there have been 325 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 169-142-14 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -3.0 -3.0 --
Open -3.5 -3.0 --
History
01/08 06:05 PM -- -3.0 --
01/08 04:55 PM -- -3.5 --
01/08 04:35 PM -- -3.0 --
01/08 10:15 AM -- -3.0 --
01/08 09:05 AM -- -3.5 --
01/07 08:45 AM -- -3.5 --
01/06 11:05 AM -- -3.5 --
01/06 09:20 AM -3.0 -- --
01/05 08:26 PM -3.5 -- --
01/05 08:15 PM -- -3.5 --
01/05 07:56 PM -3.5 -- --
01/05 01:35 PM -- -3.0 --
01/05 01:24 PM -3.0 -- --
01/05 12:38 PM -3.5 -- --
01/05 08:45 AM -- -3.5 --
01/03 08:25 AM -- -3.5 --
01/02 11:42 PM -3.5 -- --
01/02 04:50 PM -3.5 -- --
01/02 03:25 PM -- -3.0 --
01/02 12:15 AM -- -3.0 --