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Fiesta Bowl Playoff Semifinal: Miami vs. Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis

Thursday Jan 8, 2026 7:30 pm - Glendale, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Miami by 3, Total Points: 52.5

Matchup Menu: MIA vs. MISS

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami -3.0 Official TR Pick Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami -3.0 Power Ratings Miami 58% odds to cover
Miami -3.0 Similar Games Miami 58% odds to cover
Miami -3.0 Decision Tree Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami -3.0 Predictive Ratings Miami 52% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv MISS
Season 11-5-0 9-6-0
vs Conference 4-4-0 6-3-0
Streak W5 L1
Last 5 5-0-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 5-5-0
Home 6-3-0 6-3-0
Away 5-2-0 3-3-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/31 Home Notre Dame +2.5 W by 3 +5.5
09/06 Home Beth-Cook -53.5 W by 42 -11.5
09/13 Home S Florida -17.5 W by 37 +19.5
09/20 Home Florida -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
10/04 Away Florida St -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
10/17 Home Louisville -10.0 L by 3 -13.0
10/25 Home Stanford -28.5 W by 35 +6.5
11/01 Away SMU -8.5 L by 6 -14.5
11/08 Home Syracuse -28.5 W by 28 -0.5
11/15 Home NC State -16.0 W by 34 +18.0
11/22 Away Virginia Tech -17.5 W by 17 -0.5
11/29 Away Pittsburgh -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
12/20 Away Texas A&M +3.0 W by 7 +10.0
12/31 Neutral Ohio St +7.5 W by 10 +17.5
01/08 Neutral Mississippi -3.0 W by 4 +1.0
01/19 Home Indiana +7.5 L by 6 +1.5

Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Home Georgia St -33.5 W by 56 +22.5
09/06 Away Kentucky -8.0 W by 7 -1.0
09/13 Home Arkansas -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
09/20 Home Tulane -12.0 W by 35 +23.0
09/27 Home LSU -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
10/11 Home Washington St -33.0 W by 3 -30.0
10/18 Away Georgia +7.0 L by 8 -1.0
10/25 Away Oklahoma +5.5 W by 8 +13.5
11/01 Home South Carolina -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
11/08 Home The Citadel -51.5 W by 49 -2.5
11/15 Home Florida -10.5 W by 10 -0.5
11/28 Away Mississippi St -7.0 W by 19 +12.0
12/20 Home Tulane -17.0 W by 31 +14.0
01/01 Neutral Georgia +6.0 W by 5 +11.0
01/08 Neutral Miami +3.0 L by 4 -1.0