Duke's Mayo Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Mississippi St: Recap
Friday Jan 2, 2026 8:00 pm -
Charlotte, NC
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Mississippi State by 3,
Total Points:
52.5
Matchup Menu: WAKE vs. MSST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi St | WAKE | 43.8% | ||
| MSST | 56.2% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE +3.0 | WAKE | 52.5% | ||
| MSST | 47.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 | Over | 54.7% | ||
| Under | 45.3% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | WAKE | -3.8% | ||
| MSST | -1.3% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE | 26.0 | 27 | 24.8 | 43 |
| MSST | 28.7 | 30 | 27.8 | 29 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | WAKE | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.4 | 6.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.546 | 0.528 |
| Rush Play % | 50.62% | 50.68% |
| Pass Play % | 49.38% | 49.32% |
| Completion % | 66.84% | 65.68% |
| 3D Conv % | 47.30% | 47.62% |
| RZ Scoring % | 93.55% | 90.48% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | WAKE | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.293 | 0.390 |
| Opp Completion % | 76.61% | 62.78% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 41.57% | 36.11% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 90.00% | 88.24% |