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Armed Forces Bowl: Rice vs. Texas St: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Jan 2, 2026 1:00 pm - Fort Worth, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Texas State by 19.5, Total Points: 55.5

Matchup Menu: RICE vs. TXST

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 55.5	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go under
Under 55.5	Decision Tree	54% odds to go under
Over 55.5	Similar Games	51% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	RICE	TXST
Season	6-6-0	7-6-0
vs Conference	4-4-0	5-3-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	5-5-0
Home	4-2-0	4-2-0
Away	2-4-0	3-4-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Rice Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/30	Away	Louisiana	48.5	14-12	Under	-22.5
09/06	Home	Houston	38.5	9-35	Over	+5.5
09/13	Home	Prairie View A&M	48.5	38-17	Over	+6.5
09/18	Away	Charlotte	42.5	28-17	Over	+2.5
09/27	Away	Navy	46.5	13-21	Under	-12.5
10/04	Home	Florida Atlantic	55.0	21-27	Under	-7.0
10/11	Away	UTSA	48.5	13-61	Over	+25.5
10/25	Home	UConn	48.5	37-34	Over	+22.5
10/31	Home	Memphis	48.5	14-38	Over	+3.5
11/08	Home	UAB	52.0	24-17	Under	-11.0
11/22	Home	N Texas	57.0	24-56	Over	+23.0
11/29	Away	S Florida	58.0	3-52	Under	-3.0
01/02	Neutral	Texas St	55.5	10-41	Under	-4.5

Texas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/30	Home	E Michigan	56.5	52-27	Over	+22.5
09/06	Away	UTSA	65.5	43-36	Over	+13.5
09/13	Away	Arizona St	60.5	15-34	Under	-11.5
09/20	Home	Nicholls St	56.5	35-3	Under	-18.5
10/04	Away	Arkansas St	63.5	30-31	Under	-2.5
10/11	Home	Troy	53.5	41-48	Over	+35.5
10/18	Away	Marshall	65.5	37-40	Over	+11.5
10/28	Home	J Madison	55.5	20-52	Over	+16.5
11/08	Away	Louisiana	63.0	39-42	Over	+18.0
11/15	Away	Southern Miss	65.0	41-14	Under	-10.0
11/22	Home	UL Monroe	59.5	31-14	Under	-14.5
11/29	Home	S Alabama	63.5	49-26	Over	+11.5
01/02	Neutral	Rice	55.5	41-10	Under	-4.5