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Armed Forces Bowl: Rice vs. Texas St: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Jan 2, 2026 1:00 pm - Fort Worth, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Texas State by 19.5, Total Points: 55.5

Matchup Menu: RICE vs. TXST

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Texas St -19.5 Official TR Pick Texas St 52% odds to cover
Texas St -19.5 Decision Tree Texas St 52% odds to cover
Rice +19.5 Power Ratings Rice 79% odds to cover
Rice +19.5 Similar Games Rice 55% odds to cover
Rice +19.5 Predictive Ratings Rice 65% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record RICE adv TXST
Season 5-7-0 5-8-0
vs Conference 3-5-0 2-6-0
Streak L3 W2
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 3-7-0
Home 2-4-0 2-4-0
Away 3-3-0 3-4-0

Rice Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Away Louisiana +10.0 W by 2 +12.0
09/06 Home Houston +12.5 L by 26 -13.5
09/13 Home Prairie View A&M -29.5 W by 21 -8.5
09/18 Away Charlotte -2.0 W by 11 +9.0
09/27 Away Navy +14.0 L by 8 +6.0
10/04 Home Florida Atlantic -4.0 L by 6 -10.0
10/11 Away UTSA +9.5 L by 48 -38.5
10/25 Home UConn +10.5 W by 3 +13.5
10/31 Home Memphis +14.0 L by 24 -10.0
11/08 Home UAB +1.0 W by 7 +8.0
11/22 Home N Texas +18.0 L by 32 -14.0
11/29 Away S Florida +28.5 L by 49 -20.5
01/02 Neutral Texas St +19.5 L by 31 -11.5

Texas St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Home E Michigan -13.5 W by 25 +11.5
09/06 Away UTSA +5.0 W by 7 +12.0
09/13 Away Arizona St +18.5 L by 19 -0.5
09/20 Home Nicholls St -32.5 W by 32 -0.5
10/04 Away Arkansas St -13.5 L by 1 -14.5
10/11 Home Troy -7.5 L by 7 -14.5
10/18 Away Marshall -2.5 L by 3 -5.5
10/28 Home J Madison +7.0 L by 32 -25.0
11/08 Away Louisiana -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
11/15 Away Southern Miss +3.0 W by 27 +30.0
11/22 Home UL Monroe -20.0 W by 17 -3.0
11/29 Home S Alabama -9.5 W by 23 +13.5
01/02 Neutral Rice -19.5 W by 31 +11.5