Armed Forces Bowl: Rice vs. Texas St: Recap
Friday Jan 2, 2026 1:00 pm -
Fort Worth, TX
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Texas State by 19.5,
Total Points:
55.5
Matchup Menu: RICE vs. TXST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas St | RICE | 9.3% | ||
| TXST | 90.7% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST -19.5 | RICE | 48.4% | ||
| TXST | 51.6% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 55.5 | Over | 46.4% | ||
| Under | 53.6% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | RICE | -4.5% | ||
| TXST | -0.2% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICE | 17.2 | 17 | 18.0 | 10 |
| TXST | 37.3 | 37 | 37.5 | 41 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | RICE | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 6.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.248 | 0.337 |
| Rush Play % | 71.43% | 60.18% |
| Pass Play % | 28.57% | 39.82% |
| Completion % | 54.10% | 64.00% |
| 3D Conv % | 19.57% | 51.67% |
| RZ Scoring % | 80.00% | 61.11% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | RICE | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 6.2 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.493 | 0.553 |
| Opp Completion % | 68.38% | 71.79% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 46.30% | 45.45% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 78.95% | 72.73% |