Xbox Bowl: Missouri St vs. Arkansas St: Recap
Thursday Dec 18, 2025 8:03 pm -
Frisco, TX
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Arkansas State by 1.5,
Total Points:
55
Matchup Menu: MOST vs. ARST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas St | MOST | 44.9% | ||
| ARST | 55.1% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST -1.5 | MOST | 47.4% | ||
| ARST | 52.6% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 55.0 | Over | 49.2% | ||
| Under | 50.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARST -121 | MOST | -4.8% | ||
| ARST | +0.3% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 26.1 | 27 | 26.8 | 28 |
| ARST | 28.7 | 30 | 28.2 | 34 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MOST | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 1.6 | 7.0 |
| Points/Play | 0.000 | 0.387 |
| Rush Play % | 56.10% | 46.77% |
| Pass Play % | 43.90% | 53.23% |
| Completion % | 47.06% | 70.00% |
| 3D Conv % | 10.00% | 50.00% |
| RZ Scoring % | -- | 66.67% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MOST | ARST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 8.2 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.575 | 0.656 |
| Opp Completion % | 65.79% | 80.00% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 50.00% | 55.56% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 87.50% | 100.00% |