Orange Bowl Playoff Semifinal: Notre Dame vs. Penn St: Recap
Thursday Jan 9, 2025 7:30 pm -
Miami Gardens, FL
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Penn State by 1,
Total Points:
46
Matchup Menu: ND vs. PSU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn St | ND | 44.9% | ||
| PSU | 55.1% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU -1.0 | ND | 46.0% | ||
| PSU | 54.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 45.5 | Over | 53.5% | ||
| Under | 46.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU -116 | ND | -4.4% | ||
| PSU | +1.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 22.4 | 21 | 22.2 | 27 |
| PSU | 24.9 | 24 | 23.2 | 24 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ND | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.8 | 5.9 |
| Points/Play | 0.658 | 0.459 |
| Rush Play % | 57.61% | 52.38% |
| Pass Play % | 42.39% | 47.62% |
| Completion % | 70.24% | 63.19% |
| 3D Conv % | 44.62% | 36.59% |
| RZ Scoring % | 92.86% | 84.62% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | ND | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 3.9 | 5.0 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.200 | 0.294 |
| Opp Completion % | 60.81% | 56.88% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 34.67% | 25.97% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 81.82% | 94.44% |