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New Mexico Bowl: N Texas vs. San Diego St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Dec 27, 2025 5:45 pm - Albuquerque, NM (Neutral Site)
Odds: North Texas by 7.5, Total Points: 54.5

Matchup Menu: UNT vs. SDSU

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
N Texas -7.5 Official TR Pick N Texas 52% odds to cover
N Texas -7.5 Decision Tree N Texas 53% odds to cover
N Texas -7.5 Predictive Ratings N Texas 53% odds to cover
San Diego St +7.5 Power Ratings San Diego St 58% odds to cover
San Diego St +7.5 Similar Games San Diego St 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UNT adv SDSU
Season 10-4-0 10-3-0
vs Conference 7-2-0 6-2-0
Streak L2 W1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 8-2-0
Home 6-1-0 6-0-0
Away 4-3-0 4-3-0

N Texas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Home Lamar -27.5 W by 51 +23.5
09/06 Away W Michigan -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
09/13 Home Washington St -6.5 W by 49 +42.5
09/20 Away Army -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
09/27 Home S Alabama -13.0 W by 14 +1.0
10/10 Home S Florida -2.5 L by 27 -29.5
10/18 Home UTSA -4.0 W by 38 +34.0
10/24 Away Charlotte -25.5 W by 34 +8.5
11/01 Home Navy -6.5 W by 14 +7.5
11/15 Away UAB -18.0 W by 29 +11.0
11/22 Away Rice -18.0 W by 32 +14.0
11/28 Home Temple -20.5 W by 27 +6.5
12/05 Away Tulane -1.0 L by 13 -14.0
12/27 Neutral San Diego St -7.5 W by 2 -5.5

San Diego St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/28 Home Stony Brook -19.5 W by 42 +22.5
09/06 Away Washington St +1.5 L by 23 -21.5
09/20 Home California +14.0 W by 34 +48.0
09/27 Away N Illinois -2.0 W by 3 +1.0
10/03 Home Colorado St -4.0 W by 21 +17.0
10/11 Away Nevada -6.5 W by 34 +27.5
10/25 Away Fresno St -3.0 W by 23 +20.0
11/01 Home Wyoming -10.5 W by 17 +6.5
11/08 Away Hawai'i -6.5 L by 32 -38.5
11/15 Home Boise St -2.0 W by 10 +8.0
11/22 Home San Jose St -10.5 W by 22 +11.5
11/28 Away New Mexico -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
12/27 Neutral N Texas +7.5 L by 2 +5.5