Music City Bowl: Tennessee vs. Illinois: Recap
Tuesday Dec 30, 2025 5:30 pm -
Nashville, TN
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Tennessee by 3,
Total Points:
62.5
Matchup Menu: TENN vs. ILL
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | TENN | 55.3% | ||
| ILL | 44.7% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL +3.0 | TENN | 46.5% | ||
| ILL | 53.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 62.5 | Over | 46.8% | ||
| Under | 53.2% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL +130 | TENN | -5.5% | ||
| ILL | +1.3% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 31.9 | 31 | 32.8 | 28 |
| ILL | 29.3 | 28 | 29.8 | 30 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TENN | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 6.0 |
| Points/Play | 0.427 | 0.447 |
| Rush Play % | 60.11% | 47.19% |
| Pass Play % | 39.89% | 52.81% |
| Completion % | 59.52% | 63.64% |
| 3D Conv % | 33.82% | 45.61% |
| RZ Scoring % | 92.86% | 76.47% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TENN | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.6 | 6.2 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.251 | 0.488 |
| Opp Completion % | 64.71% | 70.63% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 34.92% | 50.82% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 76.47% | 100.00% |