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Gator Bowl: Virginia vs. Missouri: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Dec 27, 2025 7:30 pm - Jacksonville, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Missouri by 4, Total Points: 43.5

Matchup Menu: UVA vs. MIZZ

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Virginia +4.0 Official TR Pick Virginia 54% odds to cover
Virginia +4.0 Power Ratings Virginia 55% odds to cover
Virginia +4.0 Decision Tree Virginia 53% odds to cover
Missouri -4.0 Similar Games Missouri 52% odds to cover
Missouri -4.0 Predictive Ratings Missouri 59% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UVA adv MIZZ
Season 9-5-0 6-6-1
vs Conference 6-4-0 3-4-1
Streak W1 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 3-6-1
Home 5-2-0 4-3-1
Away 4-3-0 2-3-0

Virginia Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Home Coastal Car -13.5 W by 41 +27.5
09/06 Away NC State +2.5 L by 4 -1.5
09/13 Home Wm & Mary -31.5 W by 39 +7.5
09/20 Home Stanford -16.0 W by 28 +12.0
09/26 Home Florida St +7.0 W by 8 +15.0
10/04 Away Louisville +6.0 W by 3 +9.0
10/18 Home Washington St -15.5 W by 2 -13.5
10/25 Away North Carolina -11.5 W by 1 -10.5
11/01 Away California -6.0 W by 10 +4.0
11/08 Home Wake Forest -7.0 L by 7 -14.0
11/15 Away Duke +4.5 W by 17 +21.5
11/29 Home Virginia Tech -8.0 W by 20 +12.0
12/06 Neutral Duke -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
12/27 Neutral Missouri +4.0 W by 6 +10.0

Missouri Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/28 Home Central Ark -38.5 W by 55 +16.5
09/06 Home Kansas -6.0 W by 11 +5.0
09/13 Home Louisiana -27.0 W by 42 +15.0
09/20 Home South Carolina -10.0 W by 9 -1.0
09/27 Home UMass -44.5 W by 36 -8.5
10/11 Home Alabama +3.0 L by 3 0.0
10/18 Away Auburn -1.0 W by 6 +5.0
10/25 Away Vanderbilt +3.0 L by 7 -4.0
11/08 Home Texas A&M +7.0 L by 21 -14.0
11/15 Home Mississippi St -7.0 W by 22 +15.0
11/22 Away Oklahoma +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
11/29 Away Arkansas -4.5 W by 14 +9.5
12/27 Neutral Virginia -4.0 L by 6 -10.0