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Gator Bowl: Virginia vs. Missouri: Recap

Saturday Dec 27, 2025 7:30 pm - Jacksonville, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Missouri by 4, Total Points: 43.5

Matchup Menu: UVA vs. MIZZ

More Games From Bowl Week
Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Missouri UVA 39.8%
MIZZ 60.2%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
UVA +4.0 UVA 53.5%
MIZZ 46.5%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 43.5 Over 49.7%
Under 50.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
UVA +154 UVA +0.5%
MIZZ -4.7%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
UVA 20.0 20 19.8 13
MIZZ 23.3 23 23.8 7

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat UVA MIZZ
Yards/Play 5.3 5.5
Points/Play 0.388 0.379
Rush Play % 51.03% 59.29%
Pass Play % 48.97% 40.71%
Completion % 63.90% 61.52%
3D Conv % 49.31% 42.68%
RZ Scoring % 83.64% 84.44%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat UVA MIZZ
Opp Yards/Play 4.8 4.4
Opp Points/Play 0.302 0.312
Opp Completion % 59.95% 56.74%
Opp 3D Conv % 28.89% 36.78%
Opp RZ Scoring % 83.33% 88.24%