Gator Bowl: Virginia vs. Missouri: Recap
Saturday Dec 27, 2025 7:30 pm -
Jacksonville, FL
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Missouri by 4,
Total Points:
43.5
Matchup Menu: UVA vs. MIZZ
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri | UVA | 39.8% | ||
| MIZZ | 60.2% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA +4.0 | UVA | 53.5% | ||
| MIZZ | 46.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.5 | Over | 49.7% | ||
| Under | 50.3% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA +154 | UVA | +0.5% | ||
| MIZZ | -4.7% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 20.0 | 20 | 19.8 | 13 |
| MIZZ | 23.3 | 23 | 23.8 | 7 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UVA | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 6.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.373 | 0.476 |
| Rush Play % | 56.76% | 54.73% |
| Pass Play % | 43.24% | 45.27% |
| Completion % | 62.86% | 60.81% |
| 3D Conv % | 31.43% | 40.28% |
| RZ Scoring % | 72.22% | 75.00% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UVA | MIZZ |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.335 | 0.256 |
| Opp Completion % | 49.60% | 58.10% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 36.62% | 33.75% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 92.86% | 75.00% |