First Responder Bowl: N Texas vs. Texas St: Recap
Friday Jan 3, 2025 4:00 pm -
Dallas, TX
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Texas State by 16,
Total Points:
66.5
Matchup Menu: UNT vs. TXST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas St | UNT | 13.4% | ||
| TXST | 86.6% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST -14.5 | UNT | 46.5% | ||
| TXST | 53.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 66.0 | Over | 45.2% | ||
| Under | 54.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | UNT | -3.5% | ||
| TXST | -0.3% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | 23.7 | 23 | 25.8 | 28 |
| TXST | 40.4 | 40 | 40.2 | 30 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UNT | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.8 | 6.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.504 | 0.337 |
| Rush Play % | 48.01% | 60.18% |
| Pass Play % | 51.99% | 39.82% |
| Completion % | 69.79% | 64.00% |
| 3D Conv % | 47.37% | 51.67% |
| RZ Scoring % | 92.86% | 61.11% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | UNT | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 6.2 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.478 | 0.553 |
| Opp Completion % | 64.23% | 71.79% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 36.36% | 45.45% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 83.33% | 72.73% |