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Cotton Bowl Playoff Quarterfinal: Miami vs. Ohio St: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Dec 31, 2025 7:30 pm - Arlington, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Ohio State by 7.5, Total Points: 39.5

Matchup Menu: MIA vs. OSU

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 39.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 39.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under
Over 39.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIA	OSU
Season	7-9-0	4-10-0
vs Conference	3-5-0	3-7-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 4
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	5-5-0	3-7-0
Home	5-4-0	4-3-0
Away	2-5-0	0-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/31	Home	Notre Dame	50.5	27-24	Over	+0.5
09/06	Home	Beth-Cook	64.5	45-3	Under	-16.5
09/13	Home	S Florida	56.0	49-12	Over	+5.0
09/20	Home	Florida	51.0	26-7	Under	-18.0
10/04	Away	Florida St	54.0	28-22	Under	-4.0
10/17	Home	Louisville	49.5	21-24	Under	-4.5
10/25	Home	Stanford	45.5	42-7	Over	+3.5
11/01	Away	SMU	50.5	20-26	Under	-4.5
11/08	Home	Syracuse	47.0	38-10	Over	+1.0
11/15	Home	NC State	54.5	41-7	Under	-6.5
11/22	Away	Virginia Tech	49.0	34-17	Over	+2.0
11/29	Away	Pittsburgh	49.0	38-7	Under	-4.0
12/20	Away	Texas A&M	48.5	10-3	Under	-35.5
12/31	Neutral	Ohio St	39.5	24-14	Under	-1.5
01/08	Neutral	Mississippi	52.5	31-27	Over	+5.5
01/19	Home	Indiana	46.5	21-27	Over	+1.5

Ohio St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/30	Home	Texas	46.5	14-7	Under	-25.5
09/06	Home	Grambling St	62.5	70-0	Over	+7.5
09/13	Home	Ohio	48.5	37-9	Under	-2.5
09/27	Away	Washington	53.0	24-6	Under	-23.0
10/04	Home	Minnesota	42.5	42-3	Over	+2.5
10/11	Away	Illinois	52.0	34-16	Under	-2.0
10/18	Away	Wisconsin	41.5	34-0	Under	-7.5
11/01	Home	Penn St	44.5	38-14	Over	+7.5
11/08	Away	Purdue	49.5	34-10	Under	-5.5
11/15	Home	UCLA	46.5	48-10	Over	+11.5
11/22	Home	Rutgers	55.5	42-9	Under	-4.5
11/29	Away	Michigan	43.0	27-9	Under	-7.0
12/06	Neutral	Indiana	45.5	10-13	Under	-22.5
12/31	Neutral	Miami	39.5	14-24	Under	-1.5