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Cotton Bowl Playoff Quarterfinal: Miami vs. Ohio St: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Dec 31, 2025 7:30 pm - Arlington, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Ohio State by 7.5, Total Points: 39.5

Matchup Menu: MIA vs. OSU

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami +7.5 Official TR Pick Miami 53% odds to cover
Miami +7.5 Decision Tree Miami 54% odds to cover
Ohio St -7.5 Power Ratings Ohio St 60% odds to cover
Ohio St -7.5 Similar Games Ohio St 52% odds to cover
Ohio St -7.5 Predictive Ratings Ohio St 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv OSU
Season 11-5-0 10-3-1
vs Conference 4-4-0 8-2-0
Streak W5 L2
Last 5 5-0-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 7-3-0
Home 6-3-0 6-0-1
Away 5-2-0 4-3-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/31 Home Notre Dame +2.5 W by 3 +5.5
09/06 Home Beth-Cook -53.5 W by 42 -11.5
09/13 Home S Florida -17.5 W by 37 +19.5
09/20 Home Florida -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
10/04 Away Florida St -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
10/17 Home Louisville -10.0 L by 3 -13.0
10/25 Home Stanford -28.5 W by 35 +6.5
11/01 Away SMU -8.5 L by 6 -14.5
11/08 Home Syracuse -28.5 W by 28 -0.5
11/15 Home NC State -16.0 W by 34 +18.0
11/22 Away Virginia Tech -17.5 W by 17 -0.5
11/29 Away Pittsburgh -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
12/20 Away Texas A&M +3.0 W by 7 +10.0
12/31 Neutral Ohio St +7.5 W by 10 +17.5
01/08 Neutral Mississippi -3.0 W by 4 +1.0
01/19 Home Indiana +7.5 L by 6 +1.5

Ohio St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Home Texas -1.0 W by 7 +6.0
09/06 Home Grambling St -54.5 W by 70 +15.5
09/13 Home Ohio -28.0 W by 28 0.0
09/27 Away Washington -10.0 W by 18 +8.0
10/04 Home Minnesota -23.5 W by 39 +15.5
10/11 Away Illinois -14.5 W by 18 +3.5
10/18 Away Wisconsin -25.0 W by 34 +9.0
11/01 Home Penn St -17.5 W by 24 +6.5
11/08 Away Purdue -29.5 W by 24 -5.5
11/15 Home UCLA -33.5 W by 38 +4.5
11/22 Home Rutgers -29.0 W by 33 +4.0
11/29 Away Michigan -9.5 W by 18 +8.5
12/06 Neutral Indiana -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/31 Neutral Miami -7.5 L by 10 -17.5