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Citrus Bowl: Michigan vs. Texas: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Dec 31, 2025 3:00 pm - Orlando, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Texas by 4.5, Total Points: 49.5

Matchup Menu: MICH vs. TEX

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 49.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 49.5	Similar Games	63% odds to go under
Under 49.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MICH	TEX
Season	7-6-0	6-7-0
vs Conference	4-5-0	4-4-0
Streak	Ov 1	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-4-0
Home	2-4-0	3-3-0
Away	5-2-0	3-4-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Michigan Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/30	Home	New Mexico	49.5	34-17	Over	+1.5
09/06	Away	Oklahoma	44.0	13-24	Under	-7.0
09/13	Home	C Michigan	42.5	63-3	Over	+23.5
09/20	Away	Nebraska	48.0	30-27	Over	+9.0
10/04	Home	Wisconsin	42.5	24-10	Under	-8.5
10/11	Away	USC	57.0	13-31	Under	-13.0
10/18	Home	Washington	50.5	24-7	Under	-19.5
10/25	Away	Michigan St	47.5	31-20	Over	+3.5
11/01	Home	Purdue	49.5	21-16	Under	-12.5
11/15	Away	Northwestern	42.0	24-22	Over	+4.0
11/22	Away	Maryland	46.5	45-20	Over	+18.5
11/29	Home	Ohio St	43.0	9-27	Under	-7.0
12/31	Neutral	Texas	49.5	27-41	Over	+18.5

Texas Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/30	Away	Ohio St	46.5	7-14	Under	-25.5
09/06	Home	San Jose St	52.0	38-7	Under	-7.0
09/13	Home	UTEP	51.5	27-10	Under	-14.5
09/20	Home	Sam Houston	51.0	55-0	Over	+4.0
10/04	Away	Florida	43.0	21-29	Over	+7.0
10/11	Neutral	Oklahoma	44.5	23-6	Under	-15.5
10/18	Away	Kentucky	45.0	16-13	Under	-16.0
10/25	Away	Mississippi St	48.5	45-38	Over	+34.5
11/01	Home	Vanderbilt	46.5	34-31	Over	+18.5
11/15	Away	Georgia	49.5	10-35	Under	-4.5
11/22	Home	Arkansas	58.0	52-37	Over	+31.0
11/28	Home	Texas A&M	54.5	27-17	Under	-10.5
12/31	Neutral	Michigan	49.5	41-27	Over	+18.5