Citrus Bowl: Michigan vs. Texas: Recap
Wednesday Dec 31, 2025 3:00 pm -
Orlando, FL
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Texas by 4.5,
Total Points:
49.5
Matchup Menu: MICH vs. TEX
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | MICH | 36.8% | ||
| TEX | 63.2% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH +4.5 | MICH | 51.6% | ||
| TEX | 48.4% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.5 | Over | 47.4% | ||
| Under | 52.6% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | MICH | -1.0% | ||
| TEX | -3.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 22.3 | 21 | 22.5 | 27 |
| TEX | 26.2 | 27 | 27.0 | 41 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MICH | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| Points/Play | 0.382 | 0.435 |
| Rush Play % | 58.47% | 53.74% |
| Pass Play % | 41.53% | 46.26% |
| Completion % | 58.97% | 63.87% |
| 3D Conv % | 40.68% | 44.59% |
| RZ Scoring % | 76.92% | 90.48% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MICH | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.253 | 0.242 |
| Opp Completion % | 62.02% | 61.27% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 32.39% | 30.43% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 91.67% | 75.00% |