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CFP First Round Game: Miami at Texas A&M: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 20, 2025 11:10 am - College Station, TX
Odds: Texas A&M by 3, Total Points: 48.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ TAM

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 48.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 48.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Under 48.5	Similar Games	62% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MIA	TAM
Season	7-9-0	8-5-0
vs Conference	3-5-0	5-3-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 3
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	5-5-0
Home	5-4-0	4-4-0
Away	2-5-0	4-1-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/31	Home	Notre Dame	50.5	27-24	Over	+0.5
09/06	Home	Beth-Cook	64.5	45-3	Under	-16.5
09/13	Home	S Florida	56.0	49-12	Over	+5.0
09/20	Home	Florida	51.0	26-7	Under	-18.0
10/04	Away	Florida St	54.0	28-22	Under	-4.0
10/17	Home	Louisville	49.5	21-24	Under	-4.5
10/25	Home	Stanford	45.5	42-7	Over	+3.5
11/01	Away	SMU	50.5	20-26	Under	-4.5
11/08	Home	Syracuse	47.0	38-10	Over	+1.0
11/15	Home	NC State	54.5	41-7	Under	-6.5
11/22	Away	Virginia Tech	49.0	34-17	Over	+2.0
11/29	Away	Pittsburgh	49.0	38-7	Under	-4.0
12/20	Away	Texas A&M	48.5	10-3	Under	-35.5
12/31	Neutral	Ohio St	39.5	24-14	Under	-1.5
01/08	Neutral	Mississippi	52.5	31-27	Over	+5.5
01/19	Home	Indiana	46.5	21-27	Over	+1.5

Texas A&M Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/30	Home	UTSA	58.5	42-24	Over	+7.5
09/06	Home	Utah St	57.5	44-22	Over	+8.5
09/13	Away	Notre Dame	49.5	41-40	Over	+31.5
09/27	Home	Auburn	51.5	16-10	Under	-25.5
10/04	Home	Mississippi St	57.0	31-9	Under	-17.0
10/11	Home	Florida	48.0	34-17	Over	+3.0
10/18	Away	Arkansas	57.5	45-42	Over	+29.5
10/25	Away	LSU	49.5	49-25	Over	+24.5
11/08	Away	Missouri	48.0	38-17	Over	+7.0
11/15	Home	South Carolina	49.5	31-30	Over	+11.5
11/22	Home	Samford	59.0	48-0	Under	-11.0
11/28	Away	Texas	54.5	17-27	Under	-10.5
12/20	Home	Miami	48.5	3-10	Under	-35.5