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Boca Raton Bowl: Toledo vs. Louisville: Point Spread Line Movement

Tuesday Dec 23, 2025 2:00 pm - Boca Raton, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Louisville by 12.5, Total Points: 44.5

More Games From Bowl Week
LOU -12.5 Open -9.5 High -12.5
Last -11.5 Low -6.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 25 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 11.5 to 13.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Louisville won the game 19 times (76.0%).
  • The team like Toledo won the game 6 times (24.0%).
  • The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 14-11 (56.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 college football season there have been 83 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 42-40-1 (51.2% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -11.5 -12.5 --
Open -9.5 -9.5 --
History
12/23 02:04 PM -11.5 -- --
12/23 01:46 PM -12.5 -- --
12/23 01:35 PM -- -12.5 --
12/23 01:30 PM -12.5 -- --
12/23 01:25 PM -- -12.5 --
12/23 01:14 PM -12.5 -- --
12/23 01:00 PM -11.5 -- --
12/23 12:55 PM -- -11.5 --
12/23 12:52 PM -12.5 -- --
12/23 12:05 PM -- -11.5 --
12/23 12:02 PM -11.5 -- --
12/23 11:12 AM -11.5 -- --
12/23 11:05 AM -- -10.5 --
12/23 11:02 AM -10.5 -- --
12/23 10:55 AM -- -10.5 --
12/23 10:52 AM -10.5 -- --
12/23 10:45 AM -- -10.0 --
12/23 10:38 AM -10.0 -- --
12/23 10:12 AM -10.0 -- --
12/23 09:55 AM -- -9.5 --
12/23 09:46 AM -9.5 -- --
12/23 09:45 AM -- -9.5 --
12/23 09:40 AM -9.5 -- --
12/23 08:15 AM -- -8.5 --
12/23 08:05 AM -- -9.5 --
12/23 07:18 AM -8.5 -- --
12/23 07:05 AM -- -8.5 --
12/23 04:38 AM -9.5 -- --
12/23 02:56 AM -9.5 -- --
12/23 01:40 AM -8.5 -- --
12/22 05:55 PM -- -8.5 --
12/22 05:52 PM -8.5 -- --
12/22 03:25 PM -- -7.5 --
12/22 02:20 PM -7.5 -- --
12/22 01:25 PM -- -7.5 --
12/22 01:16 PM -7.5 -- --
12/22 12:42 PM -7.5 -- --
12/22 12:35 PM -- -7.5 --
12/22 12:12 PM -7.0 -- --
12/22 12:04 PM -7.0 -- --
12/21 01:35 PM -- -7.0 --
12/21 01:25 PM -- -7.0 --
12/19 07:04 PM -7.0 -- --
12/19 07:20 AM -6.5 -- --
12/17 03:16 AM -6.5 -- --
12/16 06:55 PM -- -6.5 --
12/16 06:46 PM -6.5 -- --
12/16 04:22 PM -7.0 -- --
12/16 04:15 PM -- -7.0 --
12/16 12:40 PM -7.5 -- --
12/16 10:18 AM -7.5 -- --
12/15 08:05 PM -- -7.5 --
12/15 07:46 PM -7.5 -- --
12/15 07:36 PM -7.5 -- --
12/11 02:15 PM -- -8.5 --
12/11 02:00 PM -8.5 -- --
12/11 10:55 AM -- -9.5 --
12/11 01:08 AM -8.5 -- --
12/10 07:35 AM -- -9.5 --
12/09 11:46 PM -9.5 -- --
12/09 12:42 PM -8.5 -- --
12/09 08:40 AM -8.5 -- --
12/09 08:15 AM -- -8.5 --
12/08 03:54 PM -8.5 -- --
12/08 08:15 AM -- -9.5 --
12/07 07:24 PM -9.5 -- --