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Arizona Bowl: Miami OH vs. Fresno St: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 27, 2025 4:30 pm - Tucson, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Fresno State by 5.5, Total Points: 40.5

Matchup Menu: M-OH vs. FRES

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 40.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go over
Over 40.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go over
Under 40.5	Similar Games	60% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	M-OH	FRES
Season	7-7-0	5-8-0
vs Conference	5-4-0	2-6-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	5-5-0	3-7-0
Home	4-2-0	2-4-0
Away	3-5-0	3-4-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miami OH Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/28	Away	Wisconsin	41.0	0-17	Under	-24.0
09/06	Away	Rutgers	45.0	17-45	Over	+17.0
09/20	Home	UNLV	49.0	38-41	Over	+30.0
09/27	Home	Lindenwood	49.5	38-0	Under	-11.5
10/04	Away	N Illinois	37.5	25-14	Over	+1.5
10/11	Away	Akron	47.5	20-7	Under	-20.5
10/18	Home	E Michigan	47.5	44-30	Over	+26.5
10/25	Home	W Michigan	40.5	26-17	Over	+2.5
11/04	Away	Ohio	50.5	20-24	Under	-6.5
11/12	Home	Toledo	44.5	3-24	Under	-17.5
11/19	Away	Buffalo	39.0	37-20	Over	+18.0
11/29	Home	Ball St	40.5	45-24	Over	+28.5
12/06	Neutral	W Michigan	43.5	13-23	Under	-7.5
12/27	Neutral	Fresno St	40.5	3-18	Under	-19.5

Fresno St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/23	Away	Kansas	50.0	7-31	Under	-12.0
08/30	Home	Georgia So	49.5	42-14	Over	+6.5
09/06	Away	Oregon St	45.0	36-27	Over	+18.0
09/13	Home	Southern	51.5	56-7	Over	+11.5
09/20	Away	Hawai'i	46.5	23-21	Under	-2.5
10/04	Home	Nevada	45.0	20-17	Under	-8.0
10/10	Away	Colorado St	47.5	21-49	Over	+22.5
10/25	Home	San Diego St	46.5	0-23	Under	-23.5
11/01	Away	Boise St	48.5	30-7	Under	-11.5
11/15	Home	Wyoming	40.5	24-3	Under	-13.5
11/22	Home	Utah St	50.5	17-28	Under	-5.5
11/29	Away	San Jose St	44.5	41-14	Over	+10.5
12/27	Neutral	Miami OH	40.5	18-3	Under	-19.5