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Arizona Bowl: Miami OH vs. Fresno St: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Dec 27, 2025 4:30 pm - Tucson, AZ (Neutral Site)
Odds: Fresno State by 5.5, Total Points: 40.5

Matchup Menu: M-OH vs. FRES

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami OH +5.5 Official TR Pick Miami OH 52% odds to cover
Miami OH +5.5 Power Ratings Miami OH 74% odds to cover
Miami OH +5.5 Similar Games Miami OH 52% odds to cover
Miami OH +5.5 Decision Tree Miami OH 53% odds to cover
Miami OH +5.5 Predictive Ratings Miami OH 58% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record M-OH adv FRES
Season 8-6-0 7-6-0
vs Conference 6-3-0 3-5-0
Streak L2 W2
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 6-4-0 5-5-0
Home 4-2-0 3-3-0
Away 4-4-0 4-3-0

Miami OH Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/28 Away Wisconsin +18.5 L by 17 +1.5
09/06 Away Rutgers +15.0 L by 28 -13.0
09/20 Home UNLV +1.0 L by 3 -2.0
09/27 Home Lindenwood -22.5 W by 38 +15.5
10/04 Away N Illinois -5.0 W by 11 +6.0
10/11 Away Akron -11.5 W by 13 +1.5
10/18 Home E Michigan -12.5 W by 14 +1.5
10/25 Home W Michigan -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
11/04 Away Ohio +2.5 L by 4 -1.5
11/12 Home Toledo +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
11/19 Away Buffalo -2.5 W by 17 +14.5
11/29 Home Ball St -17.0 W by 21 +4.0
12/06 Neutral W Michigan +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
12/27 Neutral Fresno St +5.5 L by 15 -9.5

Fresno St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/23 Away Kansas +13.5 L by 24 -10.5
08/30 Home Georgia So -1.0 W by 28 +27.0
09/06 Away Oregon St +1.0 W by 9 +10.0
09/13 Home Southern -37.5 W by 49 +11.5
09/20 Away Hawai'i -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
10/04 Home Nevada -13.0 W by 3 -10.0
10/10 Away Colorado St -5.0 L by 28 -33.0
10/25 Home San Diego St +3.0 L by 23 -20.0
11/01 Away Boise St +17.5 W by 23 +40.5
11/15 Home Wyoming -3.0 W by 21 +18.0
11/22 Home Utah St -2.0 L by 11 -13.0
11/29 Away San Jose St -3.5 W by 27 +23.5
12/27 Neutral Miami OH -5.5 W by 15 +9.5