Arizona Bowl: Miami OH vs. Fresno St: Recap
Saturday Dec 27, 2025 4:30 pm -
Tucson, AZ
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Fresno State by 5.5,
Total Points:
40.5
Matchup Menu: M-OH vs. FRES
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno St | M-OH | 35.5% | ||
| FRES | 64.5% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH +5.5 | M-OH | 52.5% | ||
| FRES | 47.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.5 | Over | 54.7% | ||
| Under | 45.3% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | M-OH | -1.5% | ||
| FRES | -3.3% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 18.7 | 20 | 17.5 | 3 |
| FRES | 23.1 | 23 | 23.0 | 18 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | M-OH | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| Points/Play | 0.357 | 0.458 |
| Rush Play % | 48.85% | 50.13% |
| Pass Play % | 51.15% | 49.87% |
| Completion % | 57.04% | 64.77% |
| 3D Conv % | 32.26% | 36.62% |
| RZ Scoring % | 93.33% | 79.17% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | M-OH | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.454 | 0.288 |
| Opp Completion % | 67.02% | 63.24% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 44.62% | 34.21% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 92.86% | 83.33% |