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Alamo Bowl: USC vs. TCU: Point Spread Line Movement

Tuesday Dec 30, 2025 9:00 pm - San Antonio, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: USC by 5, Total Points: 56.5

More Games From Bowl Week
USC -5.0 Open -5.5 High -6.5
Last -4.5 Low -3.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 57 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:

  • The team like USC won the game 30 times (52.6%).
  • The team like TCU won the game 27 times (47.4%).
  • The team like TCU did better against the spread, going 33-23-1 (58.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 college football season there have been 540 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like USC did better against the spread, going 269-261-10 (50.8% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.5 -5.0 --
Open -5.5 -6.5 --
History
12/30 08:54 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 08:46 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 08:25 PM -- -5.0 --
12/30 06:25 PM -- -4.5 --
12/30 06:15 PM -- -5.5 --
12/30 05:42 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 04:34 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 03:45 PM -- -4.5 --
12/30 03:40 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 03:26 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 01:35 PM -- -5.5 --
12/30 01:26 PM -5.5 -- --
12/30 10:15 AM -- -5.5 --
12/30 10:08 AM -5.5 -- --
12/30 08:54 AM -6.0 -- --
12/30 08:45 AM -- -6.5 --
12/30 03:28 AM -6.0 -- --
12/29 08:10 PM -6.5 -- --
12/21 12:26 AM -6.5 -- --
12/19 10:20 AM -7.0 -- --
12/19 09:55 AM -- -6.5 --
12/19 09:50 AM -6.5 -- --
12/19 09:48 AM -5.5 -- --
12/18 10:45 PM -- -6.5 --
12/18 10:34 PM -5.5 -- --
12/18 08:28 PM -4.5 -- --
12/18 08:16 PM -4.5 -- --
12/18 08:08 PM -3.5 -- --
12/18 06:55 PM -- -3.5 --
12/18 06:28 PM -3.0 -- --
12/18 03:30 AM -3.5 -- --
12/17 02:44 PM -3.5 -- --
12/17 02:05 PM -- -3.5 --
12/17 01:52 PM -3.5 -- --
12/17 01:38 PM -4.0 -- --
12/17 11:26 AM -4.0 -- --
12/15 08:25 PM -- -4.5 --
12/15 08:18 PM -4.5 -- --
12/15 08:15 PM -- -5.5 --
12/15 08:10 PM -5.5 -- --
12/15 04:32 PM -6.0 -- --
12/13 10:45 AM -- -6.5 --
12/08 04:02 PM -6.0 -- --
12/08 12:48 PM -6.5 -- --
12/07 07:15 PM -- -6.5 --
12/07 05:54 PM -6.5 -- --
12/07 03:54 PM -5.5 -- --