Alamo Bowl: USC vs. TCU: Recap
Tuesday Dec 30, 2025 9:00 pm -
San Antonio, TX
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
USC by 5,
Total Points:
56.5
Matchup Menu: USC vs. TCU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | USC | 62.8% | ||
| TCU | 37.2% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU +5.0 | USC | 46.7% | ||
| TCU | 53.3% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.5 | Over | 51.2% | ||
| Under | 48.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | USC | -2.7% | ||
| TCU | -2.0% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 30.4 | 30 | 30.8 | 27 |
| TCU | 26.7 | 27 | 25.8 | 30 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | USC | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.6 | 4.9 |
| Points/Play | 0.518 | 0.234 |
| Rush Play % | 50.00% | 49.45% |
| Pass Play % | 50.00% | 50.55% |
| Completion % | 68.62% | 66.67% |
| 3D Conv % | 51.22% | 42.37% |
| RZ Scoring % | 83.78% | 76.92% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | USC | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.6 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.412 | 0.256 |
| Opp Completion % | 63.50% | 59.38% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 32.05% | 37.25% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 84.62% | 75.00% |