New Mexico Bowl: Louisiana vs. TCU: Point Spread Analysis
Saturday Dec 28, 2024 2:15 pm -
Albuquerque, NM
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
TCU by 9.5,
Total Points:
61
Matchup Menu: ULL vs. TCU
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| TCU -8.5 | Official TR Pick | TCU 53% odds to cover |
| TCU -8.5 | Similar Games | TCU 57% odds to cover |
| TCU -8.5 | Decision Tree | TCU 54% odds to cover |
| TCU -8.5 | Predictive Ratings | TCU 52% odds to cover |
| Louisiana +8.5 | Power Ratings | Louisiana 51% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ULL | adv | TCU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-1-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-1-0 | 0-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-1-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-1-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Home | 1-1-1 | 2-1-0 | |
| Away | 3-0-0 | 0-2-0 |
Louisiana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/30 | Home | Rice | -10.0 | L by 2 | -12.0 |
| 09/06 | Home | McNeese St | -19.5 | W by 24 | +4.5 |
| 09/13 | Away | Missouri | +27.0 | L by 42 | -15.0 |
| 09/20 | Away | E Michigan | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 09/27 | Home | Marshall | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/11 | Away | J Madison | +19.0 | L by 10 | +9.0 |
| 10/18 | Home | Southern Miss | +5.0 | L by 12 | -7.0 |
| 10/25 | Away | Troy | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/01 | Away | S Alabama | +3.5 | W by 9 | +12.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Texas St | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Arkansas St | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | UL Monroe | -11.0 | W by 3 | -8.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Delaware | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
TCU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Away | North Carolina | -3.5 | W by 34 | +30.5 |
| 09/13 | Home | Abl Christian | -42.5 | W by 21 | -21.5 |
| 09/20 | Home | SMU | -7.0 | W by 11 | +4.0 |
| 09/26 | Away | Arizona St | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 10/04 | Home | Colorado | -13.5 | W by 14 | +0.5 |
| 10/11 | Away | Kansas St | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 10/18 | Home | Baylor | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 10/25 | Away | West Virginia | -16.5 | W by 6 | -10.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Iowa St | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | BYU | +3.0 | L by 31 | -28.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | Houston | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Cincinnati | -3.0 | W by 22 | +19.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | USC | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |