First Responder Bowl: Texas St vs. Rice: Point Spread Analysis
Tuesday Dec 26, 2023 5:30 pm -
Dallas, TX
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Texas State by 3.5,
Total Points:
58.5
Matchup Menu: TXST vs. RICE
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Texas St -3.5 | Official TR Pick | Texas St 51% odds to cover |
| Texas St -3.5 | Decision Tree | Texas St 52% odds to cover |
| Rice +3.5 | Power Ratings | Rice 67% odds to cover |
| Rice +3.5 | Similar Games | Rice 51% odds to cover |
| Rice +3.5 | Predictive Ratings | Rice 72% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TXST | adv | RICE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 0-2-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-2-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 0-2-0 | 1-1-0 | |
| Home | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 | |
| Away | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 |
Texas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/30 | Home | E Michigan | -13.5 | W by 25 | +11.5 |
| 09/06 | Away | UTSA | +5.0 | W by 7 | +12.0 |
| 09/13 | Away | Arizona St | +18.5 | L by 19 | -0.5 |
| 09/20 | Home | Nicholls St | -32.5 | W by 32 | -0.5 |
| 10/04 | Away | Arkansas St | -13.5 | L by 1 | -14.5 |
| 10/11 | Home | Troy | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 10/18 | Away | Marshall | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | J Madison | +7.0 | L by 32 | -25.0 |
| 11/08 | Away | Louisiana | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 11/15 | Away | Southern Miss | +3.0 | W by 27 | +30.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | UL Monroe | -20.0 | W by 17 | -3.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | S Alabama | -9.5 | W by 23 | +13.5 |
| 01/02 | Neutral | Rice | -19.5 | W by 31 | +11.5 |
Rice Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/30 | Away | Louisiana | +10.0 | W by 2 | +12.0 |
| 09/06 | Home | Houston | +12.5 | L by 26 | -13.5 |
| 09/13 | Home | Prairie View A&M | -29.5 | W by 21 | -8.5 |
| 09/18 | Away | Charlotte | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 09/27 | Away | Navy | +14.0 | L by 8 | +6.0 |
| 10/04 | Home | Florida Atlantic | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 10/11 | Away | UTSA | +9.5 | L by 48 | -38.5 |
| 10/25 | Home | UConn | +10.5 | W by 3 | +13.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Memphis | +14.0 | L by 24 | -10.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | UAB | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | N Texas | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Florida | +28.5 | L by 49 | -20.5 |
| 01/02 | Neutral | Texas St | +19.5 | L by 31 | -11.5 |