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First Responder Bowl: Air Force vs. Louisville: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 28, 2021 3:15 pm - Dallas, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Air Force by 1, Total Points: 54.5

Matchup Menu: AFA @ LOU

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 54.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go over
Over 54.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go over
Under 54.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	AFA	LOU
Season	7-6-0	7-6-1
vs Conference	6-2-0	5-4-0
Streak	Ov 3	Ov 1
Last 5	3-2-0	4-1-0
Last 10	6-4-0	5-5-0
Home	4-1-0	3-3-1
Away	3-5-0	4-3-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Air Force Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Home	Robert Morris	50.5	42-7	Under	-1.5
09/09	Neutral	Sam Hous St	36.5	13-3	Under	-20.5
09/15	Home	Utah St	45.5	39-21	Over	+14.5
09/22	Away	San Jose St	45.0	45-20	Over	+20.0
09/30	Home	San Diego St	43.5	49-10	Over	+15.5
10/14	Home	Wyoming	42.0	34-27	Over	+19.0
10/21	Away	Navy	34.5	17-6	Under	-11.5
10/28	Away	Colorado St	46.5	30-13	Under	-3.5
11/04	Neutral	Army	32.5	3-23	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Hawaii	46.5	13-27	Under	-6.5
11/18	Home	UNLV	46.5	27-31	Over	+11.5
11/24	Away	Boise St	45.0	19-27	Over	+1.0
12/23	Neutral	James Mad	44.5	31-21	Over	+7.5

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/01	Neutral	GA Tech	49.5	39-34	Over	+23.5
09/07	Home	Murray St	56.0	56-0	Push	0.0
09/16	Neutral	Indiana	50.0	21-14	Under	-15.0
09/23	Home	Boston Col	53.5	56-28	Over	+30.5
09/29	Away	NC State	56.5	13-10	Under	-33.5
10/07	Home	Notre Dame	54.0	33-20	Under	-1.0
10/14	Away	Pittsburgh	45.0	21-38	Over	+14.0
10/28	Home	Duke	47.0	23-0	Under	-24.0
11/04	Home	VA Tech	46.5	34-3	Under	-9.5
11/09	Home	Virginia	50.0	31-24	Over	+5.0
11/18	Away	Miami	46.0	38-31	Over	+23.0
11/25	Home	Kentucky	48.0	31-38	Over	+21.0
12/02	Neutral	Florida St	46.0	6-16	Under	-24.0
12/27	Neutral	USC	58.0	28-42	Over	+12.0