Music City Bowl: Miss State vs. Louisville: Point Spread Line Movement

Monday Dec 30, 2019 4:00 pm - Nashville, TN (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi State by 4.5, Total Points: 64.5

MSST -4.5 Open -3.0 High -6.0
Last -6.0 Low -3.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 269 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Mississippi State won the game 174 times (64.7%).
  • The team like Louisville won the game 95 times (35.3%).
  • The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 135-133-1 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 342 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 170-166-6 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.5 -5.0 -5.5
Open -3.0 -3.0 -3.0
History
12/30 04:25 PM -- -5.0 --
12/30 04:15 PM -- -4.5 --
12/30 04:08 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 04:02 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 03:42 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 03:25 PM -- -4.5 --
12/30 03:20 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 03:05 PM -- -4.5 --
12/30 03:03 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 02:45 PM -- -4.5 --
12/30 02:38 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 02:22 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 02:15 PM -- -4.5 --
12/30 01:55 PM -- -4.5 --
12/30 01:20 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 01:15 PM -- -4.5 --
12/30 01:02 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 12:47 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 12:46 PM -- -5.0 --
12/30 12:25 PM -- -5.0 --
12/30 12:10 PM -4.5 -- --
12/30 12:05 PM -- -5.5 --
12/30 11:51 AM -- -- -5.5
12/30 11:49 AM -6.0 -- --
12/30 11:28 AM -6.0 -- --
12/30 11:06 AM -6.0 -- --
12/30 10:55 AM -- -5.5 --
12/30 10:46 AM -6.0 -- --
12/30 10:41 AM -- -- -5.5
12/30 10:35 AM -- -5.5 --
12/30 10:26 AM -- -5.5 --
12/30 10:24 AM -6.0 -- --
12/30 10:12 AM -6.0 -- --
12/30 10:10 AM -- -- -5.5
12/30 09:48 AM -4.5 -- --
12/30 09:05 AM -- -4.5 --
12/30 05:56 AM -4.5 -- --
12/30 05:54 AM -4.5 -- --
12/30 03:28 AM -4.5 -- --
12/30 12:52 AM -4.5 -- --
12/30 12:50 AM -- -- -4.5
12/29 08:53 PM -4.5 -- --
12/29 08:30 PM -4.5 -- --
12/29 12:17 PM -4.5 -- --
12/29 04:25 AM -- -5.5 --
12/29 01:14 AM -4.5 -- --
12/29 12:55 AM -- -5.5 --
12/29 12:50 AM -- -- -4.5
12/29 12:45 AM -- -5.5 --
12/28 05:35 PM -- -5.0 --
12/28 01:45 PM -- -4.0 --
12/28 01:05 PM -- -4.0 --
12/28 06:49 AM -4.5 -- --
12/28 03:16 AM -- -4.0 --
12/27 12:18 PM -4.5 -- --
12/27 01:15 AM -- -4.0 --
12/26 08:01 AM -4.5 -- --
12/26 07:52 AM -4.5 -- --
12/25 09:46 PM -4.5 -- --
12/25 11:53 AM -4.5 -- --
12/23 12:50 PM -4.5 -- --
12/23 09:25 AM -- -4.0 --
12/23 09:01 AM -4.5 -- --
12/22 08:20 PM -- -- -4.0
12/22 12:40 AM -- -- -4.0
12/19 04:41 AM -- -- -4.0
12/17 08:40 AM -- -- -4.0
12/13 04:50 PM -- -- -4.0
12/13 12:16 PM -4.5 -- --
12/13 08:55 AM -- -4.0 --
12/12 04:15 PM -- -4.0 --
12/12 11:35 AM -- -3.5 --
12/12 09:35 AM -- -3.5 --
12/12 09:20 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 09:00 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 08:40 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 08:21 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 08:00 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 07:30 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 07:10 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 06:51 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 06:20 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 05:40 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 05:10 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 04:31 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 03:50 AM -- -- -4.0
12/12 03:03 AM -- -- -4.0
12/11 08:21 PM -4.5 -- --
12/11 07:11 PM -- -- -3.5
12/11 07:01 PM -- -- -3.5
12/11 06:40 PM -- -- -3.5
12/11 06:20 PM -- -- -3.5
12/11 06:00 PM -- -- -3.5
12/11 05:35 PM -- -3.5 --
12/11 05:30 PM -- -- -3.5
12/11 05:12 PM -3.5 -- --
12/11 05:10 PM -- -- -3.5
12/10 06:48 PM -3.5 -- --
12/10 12:50 AM -- -- -3.5
12/09 08:34 PM -3.5 -- --
12/09 06:45 PM -- -3.5 --
12/09 05:00 PM -- -- -3.0
12/09 03:15 PM -- -3.5 --
12/09 01:46 PM -- -3.0 --
12/09 01:43 PM -3.0 -- --