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Music City Bowl: Miss State vs. Louisville: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Dec 30, 2019 4:00 pm - Nashville, TN (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi St. by 4.5, Total Points: 64.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ LOU

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 64.0	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 64.0	Similar Games	50% odds to go under
Under 64.0	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSST	LOU
Season	6-5-1	7-6-1
vs Conference	4-3-1	5-4-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	2-2-1	4-1-0
Last 10	6-3-1	5-5-0
Home	4-4-0	3-3-1
Away	2-1-1	4-3-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Miss State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Home	SE Louisiana	59.0	48-7	Under	-4.0
09/09	Home	Arizona	60.0	31-24	Under	-5.0
09/16	Home	LSU	54.0	14-41	Over	+1.0
09/23	Away	S Carolina	47.0	30-37	Over	+20.0
09/30	Home	Alabama	45.5	17-40	Over	+11.5
10/07	Home	W Michigan	55.5	41-28	Over	+13.5
10/21	Away	Arkansas	46.0	7-3	Under	-36.0
10/28	Away	Auburn	40.0	13-27	Push	0.0
11/04	Home	Kentucky	44.5	3-24	Under	-17.5
11/11	Away	Texas A&M	40.5	10-51	Over	+20.5
11/18	Home	S Mississippi	48.0	41-20	Over	+13.0
11/23	Home	Mississippi	54.5	7-17	Under	-30.5

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/01	Neutral	GA Tech	49.5	39-34	Over	+23.5
09/07	Home	Murray St	56.0	56-0	Push	0.0
09/16	Neutral	Indiana	50.0	21-14	Under	-15.0
09/23	Home	Boston Col	53.5	56-28	Over	+30.5
09/29	Away	NC State	56.5	13-10	Under	-33.5
10/07	Home	Notre Dame	54.0	33-20	Under	-1.0
10/14	Away	Pittsburgh	45.0	21-38	Over	+14.0
10/28	Home	Duke	47.0	23-0	Under	-24.0
11/04	Home	VA Tech	46.5	34-3	Under	-9.5
11/09	Home	Virginia	50.0	31-24	Over	+5.0
11/18	Away	Miami	46.0	38-31	Over	+23.0
11/25	Home	Kentucky	48.0	31-38	Over	+21.0
12/02	Neutral	Florida St	46.0	6-16	Under	-24.0
12/27	Neutral	USC	58.0	28-42	Over	+12.0