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Music City Bowl: Miss State vs. Louisville: Money Line Analysis

Monday Dec 30, 2019 4:00 pm - Nashville, TN (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi St. by 4.5, Total Points: 64.5

Money Line Predictions

Value Pick Model Confidence
Miss State -183 Official TR Pick Model shows 2% value
Miss State -183 Power Ratings Model shows 1% value
Miss State -183 Similar Games Model shows 12% value
Louisville +157 Decision Tree Model shows 18% value

Money Line Situational Trends

Record MSST adv LOU
Season 5-7 10-3
vs Conference 1-7 7-2
Streak L1 L3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Last 10 3-7 6-4
Home 4-4 6-1
Away 1-3 4-3

Miss State Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
09/02 Home SE Louisiana 48-7 W +41.0
09/09 Home Arizona 31-24 W +7.0
09/16 Home LSU 14-41 L -27.0
09/23 Away S Carolina 30-37 L -7.0
09/30 Home Alabama 17-40 L -23.0
10/07 Home W Michigan 41-28 W +13.0
10/21 Away Arkansas 7-3 W +4.0
10/28 Away Auburn 13-27 L -14.0
11/04 Home Kentucky 3-24 L -21.0
11/11 Away Texas A&M 10-51 L -41.0
11/18 Home S Mississippi 41-20 W +21.0
11/23 Home Mississippi 7-17 L -10.0

Louisville Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
09/01 Neutral GA Tech 39-34 W +5.0
09/07 Home Murray St 56-0 W +56.0
09/16 Neutral Indiana 21-14 W +7.0
09/23 Home Boston Col 56-28 W +28.0
09/29 Away NC State 13-10 W +3.0
10/07 Home Notre Dame 33-20 W +13.0
10/14 Away Pittsburgh 21-38 L -17.0
10/28 Home Duke 23-0 W +23.0
11/04 Home VA Tech 34-3 W +31.0
11/09 Home Virginia 31-24 W +7.0
11/18 Away Miami 38-31 W +7.0
11/25 Home Kentucky 31-38 L -7.0
12/02 Neutral Florida St 6-16 L -10.0
12/27 Neutral USC 28-42 L -14.0