Music City Bowl: Miss State vs. Louisville: Recap

Monday Dec 30, 2019 4:00 pm - Nashville, TN (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi State by 4.5, Total Points: 64.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miss State MSST 67.0%
LOU 33.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSST -4.5 MSST 52.4%
LOU 47.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 64.0 Over 46.8%
Under 53.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MSST -183 MSST +2.3%
LOU -5.9%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
MSST 34.1 34 34.2 28
LOU 28.5 28 29.8 38

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MSST LOU
Yards/Play 4.9 5.6
Points/Play 0.233 0.354
Rush Play % 23.27% 54.18%
Pass Play % 76.73% 45.82%
Completion % 66.96% 62.07%
3D Conv % 36.92% 38.81%
RZ Scoring % 54.55% 93.75%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MSST LOU
Opp Yards/Play 4.4 5.7
Opp Points/Play 0.395 0.450
Opp Completion % 57.63% 56.06%
Opp 3D Conv % 32.73% 46.48%
Opp RZ Scoring % 84.62% 80.00%