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Camellia Bowl: App State vs. Toledo: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Dec 17, 2016 5:30 pm - Montgomery, AL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Appalachian St. by 1, Total Points: 60.5

Matchup Menu: APP @ TOL

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 60.5	Official TR Pick	56% odds to go under
Under 60.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go under
Under 60.5	Decision Tree	56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	APP	TOL
Season	7-7-0	7-7-0
vs Conference	4-5-0	4-5-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 3
Last 5	2-3-0	2-3-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	4-2-0	4-2-0
Away	3-5-0	3-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

App State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Home	Gard-Webb	51.5	45-24	Over	+17.5
09/09	Away	N Carolina	58.5	34-40	Over	+15.5
09/16	Home	E Carolina	48.5	43-28	Over	+22.5
09/23	Away	Wyoming	45.0	19-22	Under	-4.0
09/30	Away	UL Monroe	50.5	41-40	Over	+30.5
10/10	Home	Coastal Car	59.0	24-27	Under	-8.0
10/21	Away	Old Dominion	56.0	21-28	Under	-7.0
10/28	Home	S Mississippi	55.5	48-38	Over	+30.5
11/04	Home	Marshall	57.5	31-9	Under	-17.5
11/11	Away	Georgia St	62.5	42-14	Under	-6.5
11/18	Away	James Mad	56.5	26-23	Under	-7.5
11/25	Home	GA Southern	63.5	55-27	Over	+18.5
12/02	Away	Troy	53.0	23-49	Over	+19.0
12/16	Neutral	Miami (OH)	41.0	13-9	Under	-19.0

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Away	Illinois	45.0	28-30	Over	+13.0
09/09	Home	Texas Southern	63.0	71-3	Over	+11.0
09/16	Home	San Jose St	56.5	21-17	Under	-18.5
09/23	Home	W Michigan	51.5	49-31	Over	+28.5
09/30	Home	N Illinois	48.0	35-33	Over	+20.0
10/07	Away	U Mass	55.5	41-24	Over	+9.5
10/14	Away	Ball St	48.5	13-6	Under	-29.5
10/21	Away	Miami (OH)	46.5	21-17	Under	-8.5
10/31	Home	Buffalo	47.0	31-13	Under	-3.0
11/08	Home	E Michigan	45.0	49-23	Over	+27.0
11/14	Away	Bowling Grn	49.5	32-31	Over	+13.5
11/24	Away	Central Mich	54.5	32-17	Under	-5.5
12/02	Neutral	Miami (OH)	43.0	14-23	Under	-6.0
12/30	Neutral	Wyoming	43.5	15-16	Under	-12.5