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Music City Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Miss State: Recap

Friday Dec 30, 2011 6:40 pm - Nashville, TN (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi St. by 7, Total Points: 49

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miss State WAKE 22.1%
MSST 77.9%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSST -6.5 WAKE 47.7%
MSST 52.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 48.5 Over 53.5%
Under 46.5%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
MSST -245 WAKE -9.3%
MSST +6.8%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
WAKE 21.6 -- 21.0 17
MSST 26.7 -- 27.5 23

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat WAKE MSST
Yards/Play 4.6 4.8
Points/Play 0.268 0.303
Rush Play % 56.38% 51.27%
Pass Play % 43.62% 48.73%
Completion % 60.14% 56.74%
3D Conv % 33.11% 29.73%
RZ Scoring % 75.00% 77.14%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat WAKE MSST
Opp Yards/Play 5.9 5.3
Opp Points/Play 0.413 0.411
Opp Completion % 61.95% 68.91%
Opp 3D Conv % 43.04% 33.99%
Opp RZ Scoring % 78.38% 91.43%