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Military Bowl: Toledo vs. Air Force: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Dec 28, 2011 4:30 pm - Washington, DC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Toledo by 3, Total Points: 69

Matchup Menu: TOL @ AFA

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 71.0	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go under
Under 71.0	Similar Games	61% odds to go under
Under 71.0	Decision Tree	54% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TOL	AFA
Season	7-7-0	7-6-0
vs Conference	4-5-0	6-2-0
Streak	Un 3	Ov 3
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	4-2-0	4-1-0
Away	3-5-0	3-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Away	Illinois	45.0	28-30	Over	+13.0
09/09	Home	Texas Southern	63.0	71-3	Over	+11.0
09/16	Home	San Jose St	56.5	21-17	Under	-18.5
09/23	Home	W Michigan	51.5	49-31	Over	+28.5
09/30	Home	N Illinois	48.0	35-33	Over	+20.0
10/07	Away	U Mass	55.5	41-24	Over	+9.5
10/14	Away	Ball St	48.5	13-6	Under	-29.5
10/21	Away	Miami (OH)	46.5	21-17	Under	-8.5
10/31	Home	Buffalo	47.0	31-13	Under	-3.0
11/08	Home	E Michigan	45.0	49-23	Over	+27.0
11/14	Away	Bowling Grn	49.5	32-31	Over	+13.5
11/24	Away	Central Mich	54.5	32-17	Under	-5.5
12/02	Neutral	Miami (OH)	43.0	14-23	Under	-6.0
12/30	Neutral	Wyoming	43.5	15-16	Under	-12.5

Air Force Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Home	Robert Morris	50.5	42-7	Under	-1.5
09/09	Neutral	Sam Hous St	36.5	13-3	Under	-20.5
09/15	Home	Utah St	45.5	39-21	Over	+14.5
09/22	Away	San Jose St	45.0	45-20	Over	+20.0
09/30	Home	San Diego St	43.5	49-10	Over	+15.5
10/14	Home	Wyoming	42.0	34-27	Over	+19.0
10/21	Away	Navy	34.5	17-6	Under	-11.5
10/28	Away	Colorado St	46.5	30-13	Under	-3.5
11/04	Neutral	Army	32.5	3-23	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Hawaii	46.5	13-27	Under	-6.5
11/18	Home	UNLV	46.5	27-31	Over	+11.5
11/24	Away	Boise St	45.0	19-27	Over	+1.0
12/23	Neutral	James Mad	44.5	31-21	Over	+7.5