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Military Bowl: Toledo vs. Air Force: Money Line Analysis

Wednesday Dec 28, 2011 4:30 pm - Washington, DC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Toledo by 3, Total Points: 69

Money Line Predictions

Value Pick Model Confidence
Air Force +152 Official TR Pick Model shows 8% value
Air Force +152 Similar Games Model shows 9% value
Air Force +152 Decision Tree Model shows 7% value
Toledo -168 Power Ratings Model shows 13% value

Money Line Situational Trends

Record TOL adv AFA
Season 11-2 8-4
vs Conference 8-1 5-3
Streak L2 W1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Last 10 8-2 6-4
Home 6-0 4-1
Away 5-3 5-3

Toledo Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
09/02 Away Illinois 28-30 L -2.0
09/09 Home Texas Southern 71-3 W +68.0
09/16 Home San Jose St 21-17 W +4.0
09/23 Home W Michigan 49-31 W +18.0
09/30 Home N Illinois 35-33 W +2.0
10/07 Away U Mass 41-24 W +17.0
10/14 Away Ball St 13-6 W +7.0
10/21 Away Miami (OH) 21-17 W +4.0
10/31 Home Buffalo 31-13 W +18.0
11/08 Home E Michigan 49-23 W +26.0
11/14 Away Bowling Grn 32-31 W +1.0
11/24 Away Central Mich 32-17 W +15.0
12/02 Neutral Miami (OH) 14-23 L -9.0
12/30 Neutral Wyoming 15-16 L -1.0

Air Force Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
09/02 Home Robert Morris 42-7 W +35.0
09/09 Neutral Sam Hous St 13-3 W +10.0
09/15 Home Utah St 39-21 W +18.0
09/22 Away San Jose St 45-20 W +25.0
09/30 Home San Diego St 49-10 W +39.0
10/14 Home Wyoming 34-27 W +7.0
10/21 Away Navy 17-6 W +11.0
10/28 Away Colorado St 30-13 W +17.0
11/04 Neutral Army 3-23 L -20.0
11/11 Away Hawaii 13-27 L -14.0
11/18 Home UNLV 27-31 L -4.0
11/24 Away Boise St 19-27 L -8.0
12/23 Neutral James Mad 31-21 W +10.0