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Military Bowl: Toledo vs. Air Force: Recap

Wednesday Dec 28, 2011 4:30 pm - Washington, DC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Toledo by 3, Total Points: 69

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Toledo TOL 52.6%
AFA 47.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
TOL -3.5 TOL 51.4%
AFA 48.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 71.0 Over 45.6%
Under 54.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
AFA +152 TOL -10.1%
AFA +7.8%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
TOL 25.3 -- 37.2 42
AFA 27.6 -- 33.8 41

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat TOL AFA
Yards/Play 6.4 5.5
Points/Play 0.455 0.412
Rush Play % 57.47% 85.44%
Pass Play % 42.53% 14.56%
Completion % 59.42% 51.96%
3D Conv % 41.07% 45.57%
RZ Scoring % 86.36% 84.09%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat TOL AFA
Opp Yards/Play 4.9 4.8
Opp Points/Play 0.310 0.321
Opp Completion % 53.98% 60.74%
Opp 3D Conv % 36.90% 35.76%
Opp RZ Scoring % 80.49% 88.89%