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Independence Bowl: N Carolina vs. Missouri: Recap

Monday Dec 26, 2011 5:00 pm - Shreveport, LA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Missouri by 4.5, Total Points: 53

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Missouri UNC 32.2%
MIZZ 67.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIZZ -5.5 UNC 48.3%
MIZZ 51.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 52.5 Over 48.5%
Under 51.5%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off UNC -1.5%
MIZZ -1.0%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
UNC 22.7 -- 23.5 24
MIZZ 25.9 -- 29.0 41

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat UNC MIZZ
Yards/Play 6.2 6.3
Points/Play 0.418 0.467
Rush Play % 49.89% 55.06%
Pass Play % 50.11% 44.94%
Completion % 62.73% 65.04%
3D Conv % 48.33% 41.51%
RZ Scoring % 87.50% 97.87%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat UNC MIZZ
Opp Yards/Play 5.7 5.2
Opp Points/Play 0.396 0.324
Opp Completion % 61.68% 61.68%
Opp 3D Conv % 38.24% 38.10%
Opp RZ Scoring % 73.58% 83.33%