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Champs Sports Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Florida St: Recap

Thursday Dec 29, 2011 5:30 pm - Orlando, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Florida St. by 3, Total Points: 47

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Florida St ND 26.9%
FSU 73.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
FSU -3.5 ND 49.6%
FSU 50.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 47.0 Over 49.8%
Under 50.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
FSU -152 ND -15.3%
FSU +12.7%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
ND 20.1 -- 21.8 14
FSU 26.4 -- 25.2 18

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ND FSU
Yards/Play 6.7 6.0
Points/Play 0.595 0.500
Rush Play % 55.72% 50.00%
Pass Play % 44.28% 50.00%
Completion % 63.24% 60.30%
3D Conv % 41.48% 36.05%
RZ Scoring % 86.27% 85.71%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ND FSU
Opp Yards/Play 4.4 4.9
Opp Points/Play 0.262 0.285
Opp Completion % 53.43% 48.19%
Opp 3D Conv % 34.91% 29.35%
Opp RZ Scoring % 74.19% 77.14%