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Belk Bowl: Louisville vs. NC State: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 27, 2011 8:00 pm - Charlotte, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: NC State by 2, Total Points: 44

Matchup Menu: LOU @ NCST

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 44.0	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 44.0	Similar Games	56% odds to go under
Under 44.0	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	LOU	NCST
Season	7-6-1	4-9-0
vs Conference	5-4-0	2-6-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 1
Last 5	4-1-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	3-7-0
Home	3-3-1	3-4-0
Away	4-3-0	1-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Louisville Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/01	Neutral	GA Tech	49.5	39-34	Over	+23.5
09/07	Home	Murray St	56.0	56-0	Push	0.0
09/16	Neutral	Indiana	50.0	21-14	Under	-15.0
09/23	Home	Boston Col	53.5	56-28	Over	+30.5
09/29	Away	NC State	56.5	13-10	Under	-33.5
10/07	Home	Notre Dame	54.0	33-20	Under	-1.0
10/14	Away	Pittsburgh	45.0	21-38	Over	+14.0
10/28	Home	Duke	47.0	23-0	Under	-24.0
11/04	Home	VA Tech	46.5	34-3	Under	-9.5
11/09	Home	Virginia	50.0	31-24	Over	+5.0
11/18	Away	Miami	46.0	38-31	Over	+23.0
11/25	Home	Kentucky	48.0	31-38	Over	+21.0
12/02	Neutral	Florida St	46.0	6-16	Under	-24.0
12/27	Neutral	USC	58.0	28-42	Over	+12.0

NC State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
08/31	Away	Connecticut	48.0	24-14	Under	-10.0
09/09	Home	Notre Dame	49.5	24-45	Over	+19.5
09/16	Home	VA Military	52.5	45-7	Under	-0.5
09/22	Away	Virginia	47.0	24-21	Under	-2.0
09/29	Home	Louisville	56.5	10-13	Under	-33.5
10/07	Home	Marshall	44.0	48-41	Over	+45.0
10/14	Away	Duke	42.5	3-24	Under	-15.5
10/28	Home	Clemson	44.5	24-17	Under	-3.5
11/04	Home	Miami	44.0	20-6	Under	-18.0
11/11	Away	Wake Forest	43.5	26-6	Under	-11.5
11/18	Away	VA Tech	41.0	35-28	Over	+22.0
11/25	Home	N Carolina	56.0	39-20	Over	+3.0
12/28	Neutral	Kansas St	49.0	19-28	Under	-2.0