2026-2027 College FB Week 5 Predictions
Our premium college football predictions and picks are driven by computer models that analyze millions of data points.
We use a variety of statistical techniques to predict games, including decision trees, similarity scores, and power ratings.We publish a game winner, point spread, over/under and money line value pick for all college football games between FBS teams, plus win odds for each pick.
| Day | Status | TR Pick | Opp/Game | Confidence | Odds | Similar Games | Decision Tree | Power Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/4 | Wrong | Hawai'i | vs San Jose St | 52.1% | SJSU 57.2% |
HAW 60.4% |
SJSU 68.1% |
|
| 10/6 | Right | Troy | vs Southern Miss | 77.6% | TROY 76.8% |
TROY 74.6% |
TROY 96.3% |
|
| 10/7 | Right | Jacksonville St | at Kennesaw St | 56.8% | JSU 50.9% |
JSU 60.3% |
JSU 53.7% |
|
| 10/7 | Right | Florida Intl | vs New Mexico St | 72.9% | FIU 70.7% |
FIU 74.8% |
FIU 93.4% |
|
| 10/8 | Wrong | Missouri St | at W Kentucky | 56.0% | MOST 66.5% |
WKU 53.7% |
MOST 90.2% |
|
| 10/8 | Right | Liberty | vs Sam Houston | 83.7% | LIB 81.9% |
LIB 82.1% |
LIB 87.2% |
|
| 10/8 | Wrong | Arkansas St | vs S Alabama | 56.0% | ARST 52.6% |
USA 50.1% |
ARST 59.4% |
|
| 10/8 | Right | UTSA | vs S Florida | 67.6% | UTSA 64.2% |
UTSA 70.8% |
UTSA 66.2% |
|
| 10/9 | Right | Louisville | vs Florida St | 60.9% | LOU 53.9% |
LOU 61.2% |
FSU 52.8% |
|
| 10/9 | Wrong | San Jose St | vs Wyoming | 65.4% | SJSU 61.1% |
SJSU 71.1% |
SJSU 78.2% |
|
| 10/9 | Right | Utah St | vs Washington St | 65.5% | USU 57.1% |
USU 79.3% |
USU 92.2% |
|
| 10/9 | Wrong | Washington | vs Iowa | 56.6% | WASH 50.6% |
WASH 59.9% |
IOWA 60.4% |
|
| 10/9 | Right | BYU | vs Iowa St | 80.1% | BYU 78.3% |
BYU 71.3% |
BYU 80.1% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Oklahoma St | vs UCF | 76.4% | OKST 69.5% |
OKST 61.6% |
OKST 60.9% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Army | vs Tulane | 64.3% | ARMY 60.6% |
ARMY 70.2% |
ARMY 88.0% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Arizona | at West Virginia | 62.3% | ARIZ 58.3% |
ARIZ 67.0% |
ARIZ 63.0% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Pittsburgh | vs North Carolina | 65.4% | PITT 69.0% |
PITT 73.5% |
PITT 59.4% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Indiana | at Nebraska | 73.6% | IU 70.2% |
IU 62.0% |
IU 66.4% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Missouri | vs Texas A&M | 60.2% | TAM 58.2% |
MIZZ 69.8% |
MIZZ 83.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Wake Forest | at NC State | 62.8% | WAKE 57.6% |
WAKE 71.9% |
WAKE 79.1% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Bowling Green | vs Sacramento State | 76.8% | BGSU 77.0% |
BGSU 70.8% |
BGSU 95.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Northwestern | vs Ball St | 99.5% | NW 99.4% |
NW 94.6% |
NW 100.0% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Florida | vs South Carolina | 76.7% | FLA 72.3% |
FLA 64.2% |
FLA 70.6% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | App State | vs Old Dominion | 76.8% | APP 74.9% |
APP 65.0% |
APP 80.4% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | E Carolina | vs Rice | 79.9% | ECU 85.6% |
ECU 70.5% |
RICE 71.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Miami OH | at UMass | 65.7% | M-OH 63.1% |
M-OH 56.4% |
MASS 57.6% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Notre Dame | vs Stanford | 99.6% | ND 99.6% |
ND 92.3% |
ND 100.0% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Kansas St | vs Houston | 52.2% | KSU 53.6% |
HOU 64.1% |
HOU 89.4% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Ohio | vs C Michigan | 58.3% | OHIO 69.3% |
OHIO 61.5% |
OHIO 59.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Virginia Tech | at California | 75.0% | VT 66.1% |
VT 65.1% |
VT 67.5% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Duke | at Georgia Tech | 64.6% | DUKE 57.7% |
DUKE 72.9% |
DUKE 81.1% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Navy | vs Tulsa | 57.2% | NAVY 52.7% |
NAVY 59.1% |
TLSA 66.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Texas | vs Oklahoma | 73.6% | TEX 72.1% |
TEX 65.5% |
TEX 87.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | W Michigan | vs Kent St | 84.6% | WMU 88.6% |
WMU 82.8% |
WMU 86.7% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Mississippi | at Vanderbilt | 73.5% | MISS 68.3% |
VAN 52.0% |
MISS 71.2% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | E Michigan | at Akron | 64.6% | EMU 60.8% |
EMU 56.8% |
EMU 83.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Toledo | vs Buffalo | 90.2% | TOL 91.4% |
TOL 90.3% |
TOL 85.3% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Illinois | at Michigan St | 54.0% | ILL 60.7% |
MSU 68.5% |
MSU 80.4% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | N Texas | vs Charlotte | 96.5% | UNT 95.8% |
UNT 88.7% |
UNT 98.7% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Oregon | vs UCLA | 76.4% | ORE 66.9% |
ORE 55.3% |
UCLA 56.7% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Temple | vs UConn | 61.1% | TEM 55.2% |
TEM 65.8% |
TEM 89.6% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Tennessee | at Arkansas | 80.8% | TENN 76.9% |
TENN 69.0% |
TENN 74.1% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Ohio St | vs Maryland | 99.0% | OSU 99.0% |
OSU 92.8% |
OSU 98.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Oregon St | vs San Diego St | 82.7% | ORST 75.5% |
ORST 76.9% |
ORST 91.6% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Nevada | at UTEP | 78.9% | NEV 81.2% |
NEV 64.6% |
NEV 67.3% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | LSU | at Kentucky | 78.2% | LSU 81.4% |
LSU 65.4% |
UK 60.2% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | North Dakota State | at UNLV | 55.9% | NDSU 52.1% |
NDSU 66.9% |
NDSU 69.4% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Marshall | vs Coastal Car | 62.7% | MRSH 53.5% |
MRSH 69.0% |
CCU 56.2% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Memphis | vs UAB | 85.9% | MEM 82.7% |
MEM 83.9% |
MEM 91.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Louisiana Tech | vs Louisiana | 55.3% | ULL 53.6% |
LT 54.6% |
LT 82.0% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | J Madison | at Georgia So | 70.6% | JMU 65.2% |
JMU 70.4% |
JMU 76.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Virginia | vs Syracuse | 81.8% | UVA 76.5% |
UVA 79.8% |
UVA 74.7% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Air Force | at N Illinois | 68.9% | AFA 62.6% |
AFA 63.5% |
AFA 63.9% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Penn St | vs USC | 51.0% | PSU 60.1% |
PSU 72.8% |
PSU 91.5% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Alabama | vs Georgia | 52.2% | ALA 51.3% |
UGA 58.6% |
ALA 88.8% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Utah | vs Kansas | 85.9% | UTAH 83.6% |
UTAH 82.1% |
UTAH 99.0% |
|
| 10/10 | Wrong | Minnesota | at Purdue | 58.3% | MINN 69.2% |
MINN 59.9% |
PUR 74.7% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Arizona St | vs Hawai'i | 91.7% | ASU 92.1% |
ASU 72.3% |
ASU 86.2% |
|
| 10/10 | Right | Boise St | at Fresno St | 72.6% | BSU 54.4% |
BSU 53.7% |
BSU 76.4% |
