Sample of our 2012 college football bowls betting picks

About Our Bowl Betting Picks

Our algorithmic college bowl picks are driven by objective computer models that analyze millions of historical data points.

2016 was a great season for our top-rated college football game winner and betting picks. Among the highlights:

  • 3-star rated point spread picks 30-22-1 (58%) vs. game day lines (data)
  • 3-star rated totals picks 45-36 (56%) vs. game day lines (data)
  • Money line value picks 176-167-0 for +21.2 units of profit (data)
  • Game winner picks 532-187 (74%) for all games (data)

Our models use recent betting lines from Pinnacle Sports, and include confidence odds or a value score for every pick.

Money Line Value Pick History (2-Star Picks)

During the 2016 college football regular season, our top-rated (2-star) money line value picks generated +9.4 units of profit (based on flat betting) against game-day money lines from respected offshore sports book Pinnacle Sports.

We provide a money line valule pick and value score for every college football game between FBS teams for which our models identify value on a side. If the models don't find value on either team, the money line pick is rated as "LAY OFF."

We also display pick confidence odds from three underlying algorithmic models that we use as inputs to our pick making process.

Day Status TR Pick Opp/Game Value Score Value Similar Games Decision Tree Power Rating
9/3 Right 194 Wisconsin +502 vs LSU 4.6% WISC +6.8% WISC +44.2% WISC +10.5%
9/10 Right 311 Ohio +124 at Kansas 4.0% OHIO +11.3% OHIO +10.7% OHIO +23.4%
9/10 Right 342 Navy -197 vs Connecticut 3.5% NAVY +6.5% NAVY +7.3% NAVY +21.2%
10/1 Right 126 W Virginia -138 vs Kansas St 3.7% WVIR +10.2% Lay Off WVIR +3.8%
10/1 Right 131 S Florida -265 at Cincinnati 3.8% USF +9.4% CIN +6.8% USF +20.1%
10/6 Right 308 LA Tech +129 vs W Kentucky 4.3% LTEC +4.7% LTEC +17.0% LTEC +19.9%
10/15 Wrong 154 Virginia +177 vs Pittsburgh 3.7% UVA +5.8% UVA +19.9% UVA +25.2%
10/22 Right 392 Maryland +152 vs Michigan St 5.1% UMD +8.1% UMD +23.1% UMD +16.3%
11/4 Right 318 Miami (OH) +101 vs Central Mich 3.7% MIOH +15.7% MIOH +5.4% MIOH +4.7%
11/12 Wrong 208 Memphis +151 vs S Florida 4.8% MEM +0.4% MEM +32.0% MEM +6.0%
11/15 Wrong 303 Ohio +100 at Central Mich 4.7% OHIO +14.1% OHIO +1.3% OHIO +15.4%
11/22 Right 106 E Michigan +105 vs Central Mich 4.6% EMCH +5.9% EMCH +14.6% EMCH +8.1%
11/22 Right 104 Miami (OH) -297 vs Ball State 3.9% MIOH +8.3% MIOH +0.1% MIOH +3.0%
11/25 Wrong 121 Nebraska +130 at Iowa 4.0% NEB +7.5% NEB +6.9% Lay Off
11/26 Right 156 Northwestern -665 vs Illinois 3.5% NWST +1.1% Lay Off Lay Off
12/3 Right 308 W Virginia -725 vs Baylor 3.5% WVIR +3.3% BAY +4.2% Lay Off