Notes From The Sports Nerds

NFL Week 12 Betting Recap: Point Spread, Over/Under Results & Analysis (2020)

Four teams managed back door covers in Week 12, while the NFL betting market appears to be adjusting well for reduced HFA and higher scoring.

NFL Betting: Beware Winning Teams With Negative Point Differentials?

Cleveland is 7-3 despite being outscored on the season. How have similar teams finished the season, both straight up and against the spread?

NFL Week 11 Betting Recap: Point Spread, Over/Under Results & Analysis (2020)

Home teams continued their surge in NFL Week 11, while Miami's outlier status in terms of yards per point finally came back to bite them.

2020 College Basketball Preseason Rankings & Ratings For All 347 Teams

Gonzaga tops our 2020 college basketball preseason rankings, but clusters of teams with similar power ratings portend a balanced year.

2020 College Basketball Preseason Projections: Conference Standings, Win Totals

Our 2020 preseason college basketball projections for all teams, including final standings, season win totals, and conference champion odds.

Preseason Bracketology: Our First 2021 NCAA Tournament Bracket Prediction

Here's our first projected 2021 NCAA tournament bracket, along with preseason bracketology odds for all 347 college basketball teams.

TeamRankings College Basketball Betting Picks: A Quick Primer

An overview of our college basketball betting picks for the 2020-21 season, including our methodology and some performance highlights.

Best Legal Sportsbook Offers To Bet NFL Thanksgiving Day Games (USA Sports Betting)

Ready to bet NFL football on Thanksgiving? See the top signup bonus offers from the best legal sportsbooks in IL, CO, NJ, PA, IN, TN, WV and more.

NFL Betting: Finding Value In Four Midseason Futures Bets (2020)

Entering the home stretch of the 2020 NFL season, we highlight four NFL futures bets showing value based on our data-driven projections.

NFL Week 10 Betting Recap: Point Spread, Over/Under Results & Analysis (2020)

NFL Week 10 was a rough one for the Drews (Brees and Lock) and for anyone betting against a Tom Brady bounce-back spread cover.