January 30, 2013 - by Matt Woods
After 256 regular season games and 10 playoff games, we’re down to just the 49ers and Ravens left fighting for the Lombardi trophy. With the Super Bowl almost here, we wanted to present a breakdown of all the Super Bowl predictions and prop bet advice we have available on the site. Some of this information is free and open to the public, but most is only available as part of our new premium packages.
Including playoff games, both playable (2-star or better) NFL spread picks and playable NFL over/under picks are profitable for the season. Our playable totals picks have particularly excelled, going 56-33-4 (62.9%, +17.9 units) for the year so far. For the Super Bowl, as of Wednesday evening, our models see a spread of San Francisco -3.5 as relatively efficient, but the over/under is playable at 47. All of our 2013 Super Bowl betting picks are available to our All Star level subscribers.
Our game winner pick for the Super Bowl is available for free to all users. In the battle of Harbaughs, our models give one of the brothers about 2-to-1 odds to beat the other.
Over the last two weeks in our premium NFL forum we’ve analyzed a variety of Super Bowl prop bets to determine where there might be some real value. If there are any Super Bowl prop bets you’re considering, just post them in the forum and we’ll do our best to give you our data-driven analysis. So far, we’ve looked at:
Super Bowl squares are the definition of a random game when played by the most common rules (that is, you must buy your squares before the digit values of rows and columns are assigned, and those row and column values are also assigned randomly), but there are still a few approaches to consider that could increase your options to profit through some creative wheeling, dealing, and hedging.
Here you can see how betting odds at offshore sports book Pinnacle have moved over time. Odds and line movement information is free to all users:
If you’re looking for additional prop bets advice, or just want to see lists of the strangest Super Bowl prop bets available, try these sites:
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