October 9, 2014 - by David Hess
This is the sixth installment in David’s diary about playing one-day fantasy football for the first time. All other posts are listed in this blog section.
I’m crunched for time, so I’ll cut right to the chase: I kicked ass last week. 🙂
I’m playing low stakes, and obviously benefiting from a ton of beginner’s luck, but still — my top lineup, the one I spent a bunch of time on, was a perfect 14-0 in head to head matches, cashed in both 50/50’s I entered, and would have cashed in every tournament I entered (had I used it instead of my actual tournament lineups).
The tables were getting a little large and unwieldy, so here’s a screencap of my results from Week 5 (click to view larger):
As I do every week, I also entered the TeamRankings private tournament (more info here) using the screen name teamrankings, as opposed to my personal account, tr_david. This week, I simply used my personal top 50/50 lineup. That lineup finished 1st out of 167 players!
Here are links to each of my lineups, with a few notes.
Main Head-to-Head and 50/50 Lineup (145.34 pts, 14-0 H2H, 1 for 1 in 50/50’s) — I used the same basic strategy I outlined last week, with a couple tweaks. My guidelines this week were:
It could not have worked out much better. I even accidentally entered some $5 head-to-head contests, and won all of those (I meant to enter 5 $1 contests for a total of $5, but must have had a brain fart when setting up the contests, and set them to $5 each.)
If you include the results of the TeamRankings private tournament, this lineup went 14-0 in head-to-head matches, and 2 for 2 in 50/50’s, for a profit of $38.80 on entry fees of $46.
Tournament Lineup #1 (107 pts, no cash) — Stack on the Giants. Didn’t work well.
Tournament Lineup #2 (129.52 pts, 5th of 100 in tourney, 1 for 1 in 50/50’s) — This was a weird lineup. Basically a QB-less stack on the Saints, with a couple stud WR’s. Not sure what I was thinking, but it worked out.
Tournament Lineup #3 (96.66 pts, 14th of 20 in tourney) — Mini stack on the Texans, plus used the opposing RB.
I used 4 main resources last week:
I tried to only use players that both RotoWire and numberFire projected to do well. I also checked how the defenses they were facing had fared against their position so far this season, using Football Outsiders team defense data. That team defense check, in particular, is how I settled on Kendall Wright as a cheap WR — Cleveland has completely stunk up the joint against top wideouts this season, and they did so again against Wright.
This week, when looking around for archived FanDuel scoring info, I found a site that I am sure I’m going to use in the future. There is a treasure trove of data here, but I’m most excited about the archived FanDuel salary info:
I already used it to take a quick look at how paying good money for a QB or WR was less risky than paying good money for a WR, at least in Week 5.
So, yeah — spend money on wide receivers in 50/50 games at your own risk.
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