Preseason Bracketology: Our First 2021 NCAA Tournament Bracket Prediction

November 24, 2020 - by Jason Lisk

It’s College Basketball Season Eve! The 2020-21 season is going to be a challenge on many fronts, with games potentially being rescheduled canceled on a regular basis due to the coronavirus.

Despite those challenges, we won’t be deterred from providing our preseason NCAA tournament predictions before the season tips off tomorrow.

How Did We Do With Last Year’s Preseason Bracketology?

Before we get to the preseason 2021 bracket, let’s recap how last year’s preseason bracketology predictions did. Obviously, there was no NCAA Tournament last year, but some conferences did finish their tournaments, and the regular season schedule was completed. We’ll compare our preseason projections to the Bracket Matrix consensus as of the date the 2020 season ended.

• 1 of 4 top seeds likely correct. Our projected No. 1 seeds last year were Michigan State, Kentucky, Gonzaga and Louisville. Only Gonzaga was likely to be on the #1 line, though the others were all in contention for Top 4 seeds or better heading to conference tournament play. It was also a year with plenty of surprises at the top. Kansas was the only other one in the preseason mix (we had the Jayhawks as a No. 2 seed). Baylor emerged as a No. 1 seed, Dayton had a great year, and San Diego State was also in contention for a top seed.
• 22 of 23 conferences projected correctly as one-bid. The only conference we incorrectly projected as a one-bid league was the Mountain West, where Utah State upsetting San Diego State in the conference title game before the world shut down meant that both would have  been in the tournament for sure.
• 8 of 22 one-bid conference champs correct. (Here we’re counting teams that already won their tournaments, or were the lone team from their conference projected in the field at the Bracket Matrix.) Based on our preseason conference tournament win odds, we expected to get an average of 8.3 correct, so 8 is right in line with our expectations. Now, we’ll note that many conferences did not finish their tournaments, and if those had played out, we might have finished a little above or below 8 actually making the field. All three of the teams that we projected as a 12-seed from a one-bid league, by the way, were either already in the field or were the regular season champ when the season ended.
• 35 of 47 at-large quality teams correct. We projected 47 teams above the at-large cutoff line (36 at larges, and 11 projected conference champs). 35 made the final Bracket Matrix consensus. Based on our projected chances for each team to reach the tournament, we’d have expected only about 32 of those 47 teams to make it, so this was a little better than expected. (And surprise conference tournament winners could have reduced this number a bit, bringing it more in line with our expectations.)
• 2 projected top 4 seeds missed the tournament. This is exactly in line with the expectation based on our projected tourney bid odds. The teams we missed were North Carolina (3) and VCU (4). Based on our preseason odds listed for each of the 16 teams, we would have expected 13.8 to make the field and 2.2 to miss.
• 1 actual top 4 seed wasn’t in our preseason bracket: San Diego State (likely a 2 seed) was originally projected to finish behind Utah State in the Mountain West and out of the field, coming out of a conference that typically doesn’t produce more than 1-2 bids recently. But the Aztecs surged after having a 22% chance of reaching the tournament in our 2019-20 preseason projections. While we did not have Dayton (the other surprise contender for a No. 1 seed) as highly as they finished, we did have them projected as a 6 seed, higher than the preseason consensus on the Flyers.
• West Coast Conference Surge: Gonzaga is a perennial contender from the WCC, but our projections had the West Coast as having three different teams among the Top 6 seed lines, even though the conference hadn’t had three teams in the tournament since 2012 (when the best seed was a No. 7 seed). Those projections panned out, as Gonzaga, BYU and St. Mary’s were all considered safely in the field and likely among the top 8 seeds.

So we weren’t perfect, but we didn’t expect to be — again, these are the results of NCAA tournament predictions we made before the first game of the 2019-20 season was even played. In the end, teams in our preseason bracket should have reached the tournament slightly more often than we expected, and our projections were better for the at-large quality teams than for the automatic bids. Overall, we think we did pretty well for November!

Now, on to our 2021 NCAA tournament projected bracket.

Preseason Projected No. 1 NCAA Seeds In 2021

Here are our projected #1 seeds in the 2021 NCAA tournament:

• Gonzaga (53% chance)
• Kansas (23% chance)
• Baylor (22% chance)
• Villanova (21% chance)

Gonzaga is the top team in our preseason ratings, and even though they aren’t significantly above the other three projected No. 1 seeds above in terms of predictive rating, they appear to have the clearest path to putting up enough quality wins and posting a good record that will garner the top seed.

After Gonzaga, there are seven teams that have roughly similar odds of getting a top seed. None of them have even a 25% chance of earning the top seed, but we have to put some teams in those slots, so here are our three most likely candidates.

Kansas is pretty much always in the mix for a top seed, and the 2020-21 season should be no different. The Big 12 is top heavy, which also means plenty of high quality wins available in an otherwise shortened regular season.

Baylor is basically in the same boat as Kansas. Last year, both were likely to be No. 1 seeds when the season ended. They are the top two teams in the Big 12, and that conference has five of the top 11 teams in our predictive power ratings. If those ratings hold up, the Big 12 conference getting two No. 1 seeds isn’t out of the question.

Villanova is our fourth projected No. 1 seed, just ahead of West Virginia, Duke, Virginia, and Michigan State. Villanova’s path is in many ways the opposite of the Big 12 teams. They are expected to be the class of the Big East, a conference that should feature several good (but no other great) teams. That fact could allow Villanova to rack up quality wins against Quad 1 and 2 teams in the NET rankings.

For comparison, last year we had six teams that we gave at least a 28% chance of getting a No. 1 seed. This year, there is only one, so the race for top NCAA seeds should be considered even more wide open in 2020-21 — and that’s before even considering the wackiness that cancellations and schedule changes on account of the pandemic could create.

Now, on to the rest of the bracket…

2021 Projected NCAA Tournament Bracket (Preseason Edition)

(click to enlarge)

[Note: We’re not worried about following the NCAA’s bracketing rules here. We know that, for example, NC State shouldn’t play Georgia Tech in the first round. Our goal here is to show expected seed lines for each team, and give an idea of the rough quality of opponent they might face in each round. Trying to predict actual bracket matchups at this point is silly.]

For details on how this bracket was created, see our original Madness Strikes November blog post. That post goes into more detail, but the basic idea is:

1. Simulate the regular season
2. Seed and play out the conference tournaments
3. Simulate the NCAA tournament selection and seeding process

2021 NCAA Bid Odds For All 347 Teams

Our NCAA selection and seeding model doesn’t directly produce the projected bracket you see above. Its output is actually a set of odds describing each team’s chance to make the NCAA tournament, and to earn each specific seed (among other info). The bracket is created at the end, based on those odds but also using a bit of manual intervention to assign teams to specific bracket lines.

What does that mean for you? It means you get to see lots of juicy data, if you so desire. Below you’ll find our official 2021 NCAA tournament preseason projected bracketology odds for every team, but other pages on our site will be updating various odds on a daily basis as each day’s game results come in:

• For a sortable table of similar odds that we update daily, check out our NCAA Bracketology detail page.
• To go a step further and see projected round by round NCAA Tournament advancement odds based on our simulated brackets, check out our NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions.

Some Final Tips For Understanding Our Bracketology Odds

You might notice in the gigantic, 347-row table below that some power conferences have more teams projected in the field than others. For example, the Atlantic Coast has 11 teams in the projected field, while the Big East only has two.

Does that mean we expect 11 teams from the ACC Tournament to be in the tournament, and the Big East to get only two? No. But when projecting individual teams, several ACC teams have percentage chances just above the cutline, and several Big East teams are just below it.

For comparison, here is the number of teams appearing in the at-large bid range in the gigantic table (the top 47 teams, 37 at-larges plus 10 auto bids), versus the number of teams we expect from each conference when we add up each individual team’s chances of making the tournament:

Conference	Preseason Field	Expected
ACC	11	7.2
Big Ten	9	7.0
SEC	7	5.8
Big 12	6	5.5
Pac 12	6	4.9
Big East	2	4.2
Atlantic 10	2	3.2
West Coast	2	2.3
American	1	2.7
Mountain West	1	1.9
TOTAL	47	44.7

So if you ask us how many teams will make the tournament from the ACC, and how many will make it from the Big East, we would say about 7, and about 4, respectively.

But if you asked us to project the specific field by individual teams with the best chances, we would have a few more ACC teams and a few less Big East teams. That’s because nailing the identity of the specific Big East teams is a little more unlikely outside of Creighton and Villanova, with several teams with odds between 25% and 35% each.

Without Further Ado…

Here are our 2020-21 preseason bracketology odds for every team:

TR Bracket Seed	Team	Bid	Auto	At Large	Avg Seed If In	1-4 Seed	1 Seed
1	Gonzaga	98%	70%	28%	2.4	84%	53%
1	Kansas	95%	22%	73%	4.7	55%	23%
1	Baylor	93%	22%	70%	4.6	55%	22%
1	Villanova	92%	39%	54%	3.9	62%	21%
2	W Virginia	92%	18%	74%	4.7	54%	21%
2	Duke	89%	22%	67%	4.5	53%	20%
2	Virginia	90%	21%	70%	4.7	52%	20%
2	Michigan St	84%	17%	67%	4.7	47%	16%
3	Wisconsin	77%	15%	62%	4.8	42%	12%
3	Florida St	74%	12%	61%	5.0	38%	12%
3	Iowa	84%	15%	69%	5.2	44%	13%
3	Texas	88%	15%	73%	5.6	42%	14%
4	Creighton	78%	22%	56%	5.3	38%	9%
4	Michigan	65%	9%	56%	5.2	31%	7%
4	Texas Tech	86%	14%	71%	5.9	38%	11%
4	Illinois	71%	11%	60%	5.7	31%	8%
5	Oregon	79%	21%	58%	5.8	34%	7%
5	Kentucky	80%	19%	61%	6.0	34%	9%
5	Tennessee	75%	17%	57%	6.0	30%	6%
5	Purdue	53%	6%	48%	6.0	20%	4%
6	Ohio State	58%	8%	50%	6.0	22%	4%
6	Rutgers	42%	4%	38%	6.0	15%	3%
6	Miami (FL)	44%	4%	40%	6.1	16%	3%
6	Indiana	61%	7%	54%	6.3	22%	5%
7	NC State	45%	4%	40%	6.4	15%	3%
7	Houston	79%	34%	44%	6.6	26%	3%
7	Syracuse	44%	4%	40%	6.8	13%	2%
7	Arizona St	61%	14%	47%	6.8	18%	2%
8	Dayton	56%	18%	38%	6.9	15%	1%
8	VA Tech	41%	4%	37%	6.9	12%	2%
8	Florida	78%	16%	62%	6.8	27%	6%
8	N Carolina	72%	9%	63%	6.7	25%	6%
9	Stanford	56%	13%	44%	7.1	15%	2%
9	UCLA	67%	15%	52%	7.0	20%	3%
9	San Diego St	63%	32%	31%	7.5	14%	1%
9	LSU	58%	9%	48%	7.2	16%	2%
10	Clemson	49%	4%	45%	7.3	13%	2%
10	Richmond	57%	16%	41%	7.5	13%	2%
10	Louisville	66%	7%	59%	7.1	20%	4%
10	GA Tech	47%	4%	43%	7.4	12%	2%
11	Arizona	50%	9%	41%	7.7	11%	1%
11	BYU	54%	13%	41%	7.7	11%	1%
11	S Carolina	51%	7%	44%	7.6	12%	2%
11	Oklahoma	55%	5%	50%	7.3	15%	3%
11	Colorado	43%	8%	36%	8.0	8%	1%
12	Arkansas	41%	6%	36%	7.9	8%	1%
12	Alabama	50%	6%	43%	7.8	11%	2%
12	Loyola-Chi	56%	35%	21%	8.1	9%	0%
12	W Kentucky	40%	20%	19%	8.3	6%	0%
12	Furman	60%	40%	21%	8.8	8%	0%
13	Georgia St	35%	29%	6%	10.6	2%	0%
13	Buffalo	28%	20%	7%	11.0	1%	0%
13	Vermont	59%	57%	2%	11.9	1%	0%
13	Colgate	33%	33%	0%	12.8	0%	0%
14	Murray St	33%	32%	1%	13.2	0%	0%
14	S Dakota St	50%	48%	2%	13.2	0%	0%
14	UCSB	29%	28%	1%	13.3	0%	0%
14	Wright State	34%	33%	1%	13.4	0%	0%
15	E Washingtn	33%	32%	1%	13.4	0%	0%
15	Col Charlestn	19%	18%	1%	13.2	0%	0%
15	Siena	20%	20%	0%	13.7	0%	0%
15	Winthrop	54%	54%	0%	13.8	0%	0%
16	Ste F Austin	37%	37%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
16	Liberty	35%	35%	0%	14.6	0%	0%
16	TX Southern	30%	30%	0%	15.8	0%	0%
16	Norfolk St	32%	32%	0%	15.6	0%	0%
16	N Mex State	51%	51%	0%	14.2	0%	0%
16	St Fran (PA)	20%	20%	0%	15.4	0%	0%
	N Iowa	51%	27%	24%	8.1	9%	1%
	Memphis	46%	16%	31%	7.9	8%	1%
	Cincinnati	46%	14%	32%	8.1	8%	1%
	Saint Louis	42%	15%	27%	6.7	12%	1%
	NC-Grnsboro	40%	29%	11%	9.4	4%	0%
	Utah State	40%	20%	19%	8.4	6%	0%
	Seton Hall	39%	6%	33%	7.5	9%	1%
	S Methodist	38%	14%	25%	8.6	5%	0%
	Missouri	38%	5%	33%	7.7	8%	1%
	Minnesota	37%	3%	34%	6.4	12%	2%
	Utah	36%	6%	30%	8.1	6%	1%
	Marquette	36%	6%	30%	7.4	8%	1%
	Providence	36%	6%	30%	7.3	8%	1%
	Boise State	36%	15%	20%	9.4	3%	0%
	Washington	35%	6%	30%	8.1	6%	0%
	USC	35%	6%	29%	8.0	6%	1%
	St Marys	34%	6%	28%	8.5	5%	0%
	Maryland	34%	3%	31%	6.5	10%	1%
	Marshall	34%	16%	17%	8.4	5%	0%
	Belmont	33%	32%	0%	13.6	0%	0%
	Mississippi	32%	4%	28%	7.6	7%	1%
	Notre Dame	32%	2%	30%	7.7	7%	1%
	Rhode Island	32%	10%	22%	7.9	6%	0%
	Duquesne	31%	8%	23%	7.7	6%	0%
	St Bonavent	31%	10%	21%	7.2	7%	1%
	Connecticut	29%	5%	24%	7.4	6%	1%
	Butler	29%	5%	24%	7.4	6%	1%
	Xavier	28%	4%	24%	7.8	5%	1%
	Davidson	27%	10%	17%	8.0	4%	0%
	Grd Canyon	26%	26%	0%	15.0	0%	0%
	UC Irvine	26%	25%	0%	13.3	0%	0%
	San Fransco	24%	5%	19%	8.2	3%	0%
	Old Dominion	23%	12%	11%	8.8	3%	0%
	Lipscomb	23%	23%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	LA Tech	23%	13%	10%	9.5	2%	0%
	Boston U	23%	23%	0%	13.4	0%	0%
	Texas A&M	22%	3%	19%	8.4	3%	0%
	VCU	22%	6%	16%	8.8	3%	0%
	NC Central	22%	22%	0%	15.7	0%	0%
	TX Christian	21%	1%	19%	9.0	3%	0%
	North Texas	21%	11%	10%	9.5	2%	0%
	Indiana St	20%	12%	9%	10.0	1%	0%
	St Johns	20%	3%	17%	8.2	3%	0%
	Wichita St	20%	7%	13%	9.0	2%	0%
	Abl Christian	20%	20%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	Penn State	20%	1%	19%	7.6	4%	0%
	DePaul	19%	3%	16%	7.7	3%	0%
	Miss State	19%	2%	17%	7.9	3%	0%
	Colorado St	19%	8%	10%	10.3	1%	0%
	Auburn	18%	2%	16%	8.8	2%	0%
	F Dickinson	18%	18%	0%	15.4	0%	0%
	Ball State	17%	14%	3%	11.3	0%	0%
	AR Lit Rock	17%	14%	3%	11.6	1%	0%
	Montana	17%	17%	0%	14.2	0%	0%
	Akron	17%	14%	3%	11.2	1%	0%
	Georgia	17%	2%	15%	8.8	2%	0%
	S Florida	17%	5%	11%	9.4	1%	0%
	Fla Gulf Cst	16%	16%	0%	15.0	0%	0%
	N Kentucky	16%	16%	0%	14.1	0%	0%
	Monmouth	16%	16%	0%	14.1	0%	0%
	Iowa State	16%	1%	15%	8.8	2%	0%
	Mt St Marys	16%	16%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	Southern	16%	16%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	Pittsburgh	16%	1%	15%	6.5	5%	1%
	Texas State	15%	14%	1%	12.8	0%	0%
	N Florida	15%	15%	0%	15.2	0%	0%
	Austin Peay	15%	15%	0%	14.1	0%	0%
	St Peters	15%	15%	0%	14.2	0%	0%
	NC A&T	15%	15%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	UAB	15%	9%	5%	10.5	1%	0%
	LIU	14%	14%	0%	15.4	0%	0%
	Grambling St	14%	14%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	Bradley	14%	9%	5%	10.6	1%	0%
	Towson	14%	13%	0%	13.9	0%	0%
	Northeastrn	13%	13%	0%	14.0	0%	0%
	Jackson St	13%	13%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	UNLV	13%	9%	4%	10.7	0%	0%
	NC-Asheville	13%	13%	0%	15.2	0%	0%
	Prairie View	13%	13%	0%	16.0	0%	0%
	California	13%	2%	11%	9.1	1%	0%
	TX-Arlington	13%	11%	1%	12.5	0%	0%
	Canisius	13%	12%	0%	14.2	0%	0%
	Central FL	12%	4%	8%	9.8	1%	0%
	Hofstra	12%	12%	0%	13.4	0%	0%
	N Dakota St	12%	12%	0%	14.8	0%	0%
	Nevada	12%	7%	5%	10.4	0%	0%
	Wofford	12%	10%	2%	11.5	0%	0%
	Drexel	12%	12%	0%	14.2	0%	0%
	Oral Roberts	12%	12%	0%	14.7	0%	0%
	Ohio	12%	11%	1%	12.5	0%	0%
	Georgetown	12%	2%	10%	8.3	2%	0%
	Navy	11%	11%	0%	14.4	0%	0%
	Toledo	11%	10%	1%	12.6	0%	0%
	N Colorado	11%	11%	0%	14.6	0%	0%
	Northwestern	11%	1%	10%	7.7	2%	0%
	Nicholls St	11%	11%	0%	15.3	0%	0%
	Sacred Hrt	11%	11%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	Geo Mason	10%	4%	7%	9.1	1%	0%
	S Utah	10%	10%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
	E Illinois	10%	10%	0%	14.7	0%	0%
	Hawaii	10%	10%	0%	14.2	0%	0%
	CS Bakersfld	10%	10%	0%	14.4	0%	0%
	Iona	10%	10%	0%	14.4	0%	0%
	IPFW	10%	10%	0%	14.6	0%	0%
	Tulsa	9%	4%	6%	9.5	1%	0%
	Bowling Grn	9%	8%	1%	12.4	0%	0%
	Utah Val St	9%	9%	0%	15.4	0%	0%
	Morgan St	9%	9%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	South Dakota	9%	9%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	Bucknell	9%	9%	0%	13.8	0%	0%
	UC Riverside	9%	9%	0%	14.4	0%	0%
	Neb Omaha	9%	9%	0%	14.8	0%	0%
	Maryland BC	9%	9%	0%	14.3	0%	0%
	Oregon St	9%	1%	7%	8.9	1%	0%
	Pepperdine	9%	2%	7%	9.0	1%	0%
	TX-Pan Am	9%	9%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	James Mad	8%	8%	0%	14.1	0%	0%
	St Fran (NY)	8%	8%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	Coastal Car	8%	7%	1%	12.5	0%	0%
	N Hampshire	8%	8%	0%	14.0	0%	0%
	Lamar	8%	8%	0%	15.4	0%	0%
	UC Davis	8%	8%	0%	14.7	0%	0%
	Coppin State	8%	8%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	Gard-Webb	8%	8%	0%	15.4	0%	0%
	Florida A&M	8%	8%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	Campbell	7%	7%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	Wake Forest	7%	0%	7%	8.7	1%	0%
	Montana St	7%	7%	0%	14.7	0%	0%
	S Alabama	7%	7%	0%	13.0	0%	0%
	E Michigan	7%	6%	1%	12.6	0%	0%
	IL-Chicago	7%	7%	0%	14.6	0%	0%
	Portland St	7%	7%	0%	14.6	0%	0%
	Bryant	7%	7%	0%	15.6	0%	0%
	Boston Col	7%	0%	6%	6.6	2%	0%
	Stony Brook	7%	7%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
	Chattanooga	7%	6%	1%	12.3	0%	0%
	Valparaiso	7%	5%	2%	11.4	0%	0%
	Lafayette	6%	6%	0%	14.0	0%	0%
	American	6%	6%	0%	14.2	0%	0%
	Youngs St	6%	6%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
	Wm & Mary	6%	6%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
	McNeese St	6%	6%	0%	15.3	0%	0%
	Vanderbilt	6%	1%	6%	9.6	0%	0%
	Kansas St	6%	0%	6%	9.7	0%	0%
	Alcorn State	6%	6%	0%	16.0	0%	0%
	Elon	6%	6%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
	Delaware	6%	6%	0%	14.4	0%	0%
	Rob Morris	6%	6%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
	WI-Grn Bay	6%	6%	0%	14.7	0%	0%
	Miami (OH)	6%	5%	1%	12.8	0%	0%
	NC-Wilmgton	6%	6%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
	NJIT	6%	6%	0%	14.3	0%	0%
	Sam Hous St	6%	6%	0%	15.2	0%	0%
	E Tenn St	6%	5%	1%	12.2	0%	0%
	Stetson	6%	6%	0%	15.4	0%	0%
	Oakland	5%	5%	0%	14.8	0%	0%
	Loyola Mymt	5%	1%	4%	9.1	0%	0%
	Fairfield	5%	5%	0%	14.8	0%	0%
	Florida Intl	5%	4%	1%	10.6	0%	0%
	Sac State	5%	5%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	Niagara	5%	5%	0%	14.7	0%	0%
	Kent State	5%	5%	1%	13.0	0%	0%
	Radford	5%	5%	0%	15.6	0%	0%
	Drake	5%	4%	1%	11.7	0%	0%
	TX-San Ant	5%	4%	1%	10.9	0%	0%
	Wagner	5%	5%	0%	15.6	0%	0%
	Jacksonville	5%	5%	0%	15.6	0%	0%
	Rider	5%	5%	0%	14.7	0%	0%
	Seattle	5%	5%	0%	15.7	0%	0%
	LA Lafayette	5%	5%	0%	12.9	0%	0%
	U Mass	5%	2%	3%	8.6	1%	0%
	App State	5%	5%	0%	13.8	0%	0%
	Manhattan	5%	5%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	Lg Beach St	5%	5%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	Mass Lowell	5%	5%	0%	14.6	0%	0%
	Weber State	5%	5%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	W Carolina	4%	4%	0%	13.0	0%	0%
	Lehigh	4%	4%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
	Hartford	4%	4%	0%	14.6	0%	0%
	Mercer	4%	4%	0%	13.0	0%	0%
	S Illinois	4%	3%	1%	11.7	0%	0%
	TX El Paso	4%	3%	1%	10.6	0%	0%
	Missouri St	4%	3%	1%	12.3	0%	0%
	North Dakota	4%	4%	0%	15.3	0%	0%
	Albany	4%	4%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
	Wyoming	4%	3%	1%	12.0	0%	0%
	N Illinois	4%	4%	0%	13.7	0%	0%
	Charl South	4%	4%	0%	15.6	0%	0%
	Santa Clara	4%	1%	3%	9.6	0%	0%
	Alab A&M	4%	4%	0%	16.0	0%	0%
	Loyola-MD	4%	4%	0%	14.4	0%	0%
	New Mexico	3%	2%	1%	10.9	0%	0%
	Middle Tenn	3%	2%	1%	10.7	0%	0%
	E Kentucky	3%	3%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	SC Upstate	3%	3%	0%	15.6	0%	0%
	UMKC	3%	3%	0%	15.2	0%	0%
	Central Ark	3%	3%	0%	15.3	0%	0%
	Detroit	3%	3%	0%	15.0	0%	0%
	Temple	3%	1%	2%	10.8	0%	0%
	Quinnipiac	3%	3%	0%	15.1	0%	0%
	Arkansas St	3%	3%	0%	13.5	0%	0%
	Marist	3%	3%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	N Arizona	3%	3%	0%	15.1	0%	0%
	CS Fullerton	3%	3%	0%	15.0	0%	0%
	Army	3%	3%	0%	14.6	0%	0%
	WI-Milwkee	3%	3%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	TX A&M-CC	3%	3%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	Howard	3%	3%	0%	16.0	0%	0%
	Fresno St	3%	2%	1%	12.0	0%	0%
	Cleveland St	3%	3%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	New Orleans	3%	3%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	GA Southern	3%	2%	0%	13.6	0%	0%
	Jksnville St	3%	2%	0%	14.8	0%	0%
	Pacific	2%	1%	2%	9.6	0%	0%
	Illinois St	2%	2%	0%	12.4	0%	0%
	NW State	2%	2%	0%	15.7	0%	0%
	Charlotte	2%	2%	1%	10.3	0%	0%
	S Car State	2%	2%	0%	16.0	0%	0%
	Ark Pine Bl	2%	2%	0%	16.0	0%	0%
	Alabama St	2%	2%	0%	16.0	0%	0%
	Fla Atlantic	2%	2%	1%	11.2	0%	0%
	E Carolina	2%	1%	1%	10.6	0%	0%
	Denver	2%	2%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	Delaware St	2%	2%	0%	16.0	0%	0%
	W Michigan	2%	2%	0%	13.9	0%	0%
	Idaho State	2%	2%	0%	15.3	0%	0%
	San Diego	2%	1%	1%	9.6	0%	0%
	Central Mich	2%	2%	0%	13.8	0%	0%
	TN State	2%	2%	0%	14.9	0%	0%
	Hampton	2%	2%	0%	15.7	0%	0%
	High Point	2%	2%	0%	15.7	0%	0%
	IUPUI	2%	2%	0%	15.0	0%	0%
	Longwood	1%	1%	0%	15.8	0%	0%
	SE Louisiana	1%	1%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	Cal Poly	1%	1%	0%	15.4	0%	0%
	Morehead St	1%	1%	0%	15.3	0%	0%
	Cal St Nrdge	1%	1%	0%	15.3	0%	0%
	St Josephs	1%	0%	1%	10.7	0%	0%
	La Salle	1%	1%	0%	10.6	0%	0%
	LA Monroe	1%	1%	0%	14.5	0%	0%
	Central Conn	1%	1%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	Nebraska	1%	0%	1%	8.0	0%	0%
	Wash State	1%	0%	1%	9.9	0%	0%
	Geo Wshgtn	1%	0%	0%	9.9	0%	0%
	Idaho	1%	1%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	W Illinois	1%	1%	0%	15.6	0%	0%
	Troy	1%	1%	0%	14.8	0%	0%
	Samford	1%	1%	0%	14.6	0%	0%
	VA Military	1%	1%	0%	14.2	0%	0%
	Air Force	1%	1%	0%	13.0	0%	0%
	Rice	1%	1%	0%	12.7	0%	0%
	SE Missouri	1%	1%	0%	15.3	0%	0%
	Presbyterian	1%	1%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	S Mississippi	1%	1%	0%	13.2	0%	0%
	TN Tech	0%	0%	0%	15.3	0%	0%
	Miss Val St	0%	0%	0%	16.0	0%	0%
	Evansville	0%	0%	0%	14.0	0%	0%
	Binghamton	0%	0%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	Holy Cross	0%	0%	0%	14.7	0%	0%
	TN Martin	0%	0%	0%	15.4	0%	0%
	Houston Bap	0%	0%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	Maine	0%	0%	0%	15.5	0%	0%
	Tulane	0%	0%	0%	12.4	0%	0%
	Citadel	0%	0%	0%	15.0	0%	0%
	Incar Word	0%	0%	0%	15.9	0%	0%
	San Jose St	0%	0%	0%	12.7	0%	0%
	Fordham	0%	0%	0%	12.4	0%	0%
	SIU Edward	0%	0%	0%	15.3	0%	0%
	Kennesaw St	0%	0%	0%	15.8	0%	0%
	Chicago St	0%	0%	0%	16.0	0%	0%
	Portland	0%	0%	0%	9.2	0%	0%
	California Baptist	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%
	Tarleton State	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%
	Merrimack	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%
	North Alabama	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%
	Oklahoma St	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%
	UC San Diego	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%
	Dixie State	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%
	Bellarmine	0%	0%	0%	0.0	0%	0%

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