2018-19 College Basketball Preseason Projected Standings & Win Totals

November 6, 2018 - by David Hess

College Basketball Projected Standings

We published our official 2018-19 college basketball preseason ratings this weekend, which means we now have full 2018-19 college basketball preseason projected standings for all teams, including:

College Basketball Projected Conference Standings. Projected conference records & overall regular season records, plus conference regular season title odds and conference tournament win odds.
Bracketology Projections. Odds to make the NCAA tournament, plus projected seeding, and lots more details. (One of our faves is the Bracketology By Conference page.)
NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions. Round by round advancement odds, including the chance of a team making the Sweet 16 or Final Four, or winning the title.

This is all data-driven, and automated, so it will update every morning throughout the season.

There’s a lot of info in the giant table below. You’ll find:

full conference standings projections
projected regular season records
conference regular season win odds
conference tournament win odds

But first, let’s check out a few highlights from our 2018-19 college basketball preseason projected standings.

Projection Highlights

First, our projected winners for the major conferences:

American: Houston (28%)
ACC: Duke (25%)
Big 12: Kansas (45%)
Big East: Villanova (45%)
Big Ten: Michigan State (22%)
Pac-12: Oregon (26%)
SEC: Kentucky (27%)

That’s a lot of wide-open races. Most seasons, we project at least one major conference team as an odds-on favorite to win their conference. However, this season only Kansas and Villanova approach 50% odds, and no other team even reaches 30%.

Outside the major conferences, it’s a different story, with 6 teams projected with at least a 50% chance to take home a regular season conference title:

69% Gonzaga (West Coast)
68% Stephen F Austin (Southland)
66% Nevada (Mountain West)
65% Montana (Big Sky)
56% Northeastern (Colonial)
51% South Dakota State (Summit)

On the other end of the spectrum is the Big Ten, where the favorite (Michigan State) only has a 21% chance to win the regular season title. An impressive nine teams have at least a 5% chance at the Big Ten crown.

ACC Schedule Favors North Carolina

The ACC doesn’t quite have as many contenders as the Big Ten, with only six teams having at least a 6% chance to win the regular season. However, no conference sports a stronger top three than the ACC, with #1 Duke, #3 UNC, and #4 Virginia.

Despite UNC and Virginia being virtually tied in our preseason predictive ratings, UNC is well ahead of Virginia in conference win odds:

25% Duke
24% North Carolina
19% Virginia

The main reason for this is simple. The Tar Heels and Cavaliers face off only once this season, and the game is in Chapel Hill. UNC’s home court advantage in that game means they are not only favored to earn a one game lead over Virginia in that game, but also to own the head-to-head tiebreaker.

Playing Virginia only once also gives the Tar Heels a slight schedule advantage over Duke, which helps explain their title odds being nearly even with Duke’s.

Conference USA’s New Group-Based Schedule

In case you haven’t heard, Conference USA is using a creative new scheduling system.

Each team plays 14 pre-scheduled games, just like any other conference. After those 14 games, teams are placed into groups of 4 or 5 teams based on the current standings (1-5, 6-10, 11-14). The teams then play 4 more games (2 home, 2 away) against the other members of their group.

Conference tournament seeding is determined by the full 18-game record, with one twist — teams are guaranteed a seed from their standings group. In other words, if the #5 team after 14 games goes 0-4 in the final group games, it still can’t fall below the #5 seed.

From the perspective of a fan, this schedule format is pretty fun. The best teams get to play more games against each other, and they do it at the end of the season, when the pressure is on.

From the perspective of someone who maintains our season projections code … let’s just say it’s less fun. There’s nothing remotely resembling this in any other conference, or any other sport we cover, so it’s going to take some significant work to correctly handle this format.

We hope to implement a more advanced solution in the near future, but for now, in the early part of the season we simply project every Conference USA team to go 2-2 over their final four conference games. It’s not perfect, but considering that the goal of this system is to create evenly-matched games down the stretch, it’s probably not going to be that far off from a “true” projection for most teams.

Once the exact matchups are set, we replace that 2-2 stretch with a real projection based on team power ratings. However, our logic to seed the CUSA conference tournament doesn’t yet take into account the “no rising or falling out of your standings group” rule. Once the exact tournament bracket is set, we load that into our database manually, but until that time the tournament projections may be based on seeding that’s slightly off. The shouldn’t make a huge difference in most cases, but we want to be transparent about it.

2018-19 College Basketball Preseason Projected Standings

For a lot more info on any team, click their name to view their season projections page. Once there, be sure to check out the Bracketology link at the top of the page.

Need a refresher on what info you can find in our automated bracketology projections, and how we created them? Check out our original post Introducing Our New Algorithmic Bracketology Projections and our review of what’s in our NCAA tournament bracket prediction pages.

[Note: Overall regular season record projections account for only already-scheduled games, so they will be missing some early season tournament games where opponents have yet to be determined.]

[Note #2: Our original projections had incorrect postseason ban info, with some ineligible teams being forecast with non-zero conference tournament win odds, and some eligible teams being forecast with 0% odds. We corrected the ban info, and re-ran the projections. Numbers for all teams may have shifted slightly due to random variation in the simulations.]

2018-19 TeamRankings Preseason College Basketball Conference Projections

ACC Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Duke	13.0	5.0	22.5	6.5	25.3%	23.4%
N Carolina	12.8	5.2	22.7	7.3	24.3%	19.6%
Virginia	12.5	5.5	21.4	6.6	18.7%	19.2%
Florida St	10.8	7.2	20.1	8.9	6.2%	6.8%
Clemson	10.8	7.2	20.2	8.8	7.2%	6.9%
Syracuse	10.7	7.3	20.9	9.1	7.0%	7.4%
Miami (FL)	10.3	7.7	19.3	8.7	4.3%	6.3%
VA Tech	9.3	8.7	17.9	10.1	2.3%	3.5%
NC State	9.0	9.0	19.7	11.3	2.0%	2.6%
Notre Dame	8.7	9.3	19.0	12.0	1.6%	2.2%
Louisville	7.8	10.2	15.7	14.3	0.9%	1.4%
Boston Col	6.2	11.8	15.1	14.9	0.3%	0.4%
Wake Forest	4.9	13.1	11.8	16.2	0.1%	0.2%
GA Tech	4.5	13.5	13.0	18.0	0.0%	0.1%
Pittsburgh	3.9	14.1	13.1	17.9	0.0%	0.1%

America East Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Vermont	11.8	4.2	18.7	11.3	46.8%	43.0%
Stony Brook	9.8	6.2	16.6	13.4	17.1%	17.3%
Hartford	9.3	6.7	15.8	14.2	12.1%	12.8%
Albany	8.6	7.4	14.9	15.1	9.3%	9.6%
Maryland BC	8.5	7.5	15.8	13.2	8.1%	8.9%
Binghamton	6.7	9.3	13.5	17.5	2.4%	3.0%
N Hampshire	6.7	9.3	12.4	16.6	2.3%	2.9%
Mass Lowell	6.1	9.9	12.4	18.6	1.3%	1.9%
Maine	4.6	11.4	8.0	23.0	0.6%	0.6%

American Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Houston	12.8	5.2	23.7	7.4	27.7%	22.5%
Cincinnati	12.4	5.6	21.8	8.2	23.7%	23.4%
Wichita St	11.1	6.9	17.8	10.2	11.0%	10.7%
S Methodist	11.0	7.0	20.1	8.9	10.7%	12.7%
Temple	10.6	7.4	18.5	11.5	9.2%	8.3%
Central FL	10.4	7.6	18.1	9.9	8.7%	10.3%
Connecticut	9.5	8.5	18.1	11.9	4.5%	5.4%
Memphis	8.7	9.3	15.3	13.7	2.2%	3.1%
Tulsa	8.7	9.3	16.6	13.4	2.1%	3.3%
Tulane	5.8	12.2	10.1	16.9	0.2%	0.3%
S Florida	3.9	14.1	11.5	19.5	0.0%	0.1%
E Carolina	3.1	14.9	9.1	20.9	0.0%	0.0%

Atlantic 10 Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Davidson	12.1	5.9	19.7	9.3	24.3%	20.2%
Richmond	11.0	7.0	20.1	9.9	14.0%	13.6%
Dayton	10.9	7.1	18.5	10.5	12.1%	11.5%
VCU	10.6	7.4	17.8	12.2	10.4%	11.2%
Saint Louis	10.3	7.7	18.1	12.9	9.4%	9.1%
St Bonavent	10.2	7.8	17.0	12.0	9.2%	8.8%
Rhode Island	10.2	7.8	16.4	11.6	9.3%	10.4%
St Josephs	8.7	9.3	13.9	15.1	3.6%	4.4%
Geo Mason	8.5	9.5	15.8	14.2	3.0%	4.0%
U Mass	7.5	10.5	14.7	15.3	1.7%	2.1%
Geo Wshgtn	7.2	10.8	13.3	16.7	1.2%	1.5%
La Salle	7.1	10.9	11.0	16.0	1.0%	1.5%
Duquesne	6.9	11.1	14.8	16.2	0.8%	1.4%
Fordham	4.7	13.3	12.7	18.3	0.1%	0.2%

Atlantic Sun Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Lipscomb	12.1	3.9	18.8	10.2	40.9%	39.8%
Fla Gulf Cst	11.4	5.6	16.8	12.2	26.2%	23.7%
Liberty	10.1	5.9	18.4	11.6	14.3%	15.6%
NJIT	9.1	6.9	17.1	13.9	8.0%	9.1%
N Florida	8.9	7.1	14.3	15.7	7.5%	8.3%
Jacksonville	7.5	9.5	14.9	17.1	2.5%	2.7%
Kennesaw St	5.2	10.8	9.1	19.9	0.4%	0.6%
Stetson	4.4	11.6	9.5	21.5	0.1%	0.2%
North Alabama	4.2	11.8	8.4	22.6	0.2%	0.0%

Big 12 Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Kansas	12.9	5.1	22.5	7.5	44.6%	33.7%
W Virginia	10.3	7.7	19.1	9.9	13.4%	13.5%
Kansas St	10.0	8.0	18.9	10.1	11.2%	12.0%
Texas Tech	9.4	8.6	19.8	10.2	7.9%	9.4%
Iowa State	8.9	9.1	18.0	11.0	6.4%	7.7%
Baylor	8.4	9.6	17.8	12.2	4.6%	6.1%
Texas	8.3	9.7	17.3	12.7	3.9%	5.8%
TX Christian	8.2	9.8	16.9	12.1	3.8%	5.4%
Oklahoma	7.9	10.1	15.2	13.8	3.8%	5.1%
Oklahoma St	5.6	12.4	12.6	16.4	0.5%	1.3%

Big East Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Villanova	12.9	5.1	22.1	6.9	44.6%	32.9%
Marquette	10.0	8.0	19.4	10.6	12.1%	12.2%
Butler	9.7	8.3	18.2	10.8	9.3%	10.4%
Creighton	9.4	8.6	17.5	11.5	9.1%	10.0%
St Johns	9.4	8.6	19.5	10.5	7.9%	10.0%
Xavier	8.8	9.2	17.0	12.0	5.6%	7.5%
Seton Hall	7.9	10.1	14.6	13.4	3.7%	5.0%
Georgetown	7.9	10.1	18.2	12.8	3.2%	4.9%
Providence	7.9	10.1	16.8	13.2	3.5%	5.0%
DePaul	6.1	11.9	14.4	14.6	1.0%	2.0%

Big Sky Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Montana	16.5	3.5	22.5	6.5	65.3%	50.0%
Weber State	12.8	7.2	18.6	10.4	12.3%	13.9%
E Washingtn	12.3	7.7	16.2	13.8	8.8%	11.3%
N Colorado	11.7	8.3	16.8	13.2	7.0%	9.4%
Portland St	9.8	10.2	14.9	15.1	2.3%	4.2%
Idaho State	9.4	10.6	13.1	15.9	1.5%	3.5%
Idaho	9.0	11.0	15.2	15.8	1.0%	2.9%
Sac State	8.3	11.7	12.6	16.4	0.8%	2.0%
Montana St	7.8	12.2	11.1	18.9	0.7%	1.6%
S Utah	6.9	13.1	10.5	18.5	0.3%	0.9%
N Arizona	5.6	14.4	7.5	22.5	0.0%	0.4%

Big South Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Radford	11.1	4.9	16.5	12.5	30.0%	29.0%
Winthrop	10.7	5.3	17.9	11.1	26.2%	25.1%
High Point	9.0	7.0	14.5	13.5	8.5%	9.6%
Gard-Webb	8.8	8.2	16.0	15.0	7.4%	6.6%
Hampton	8.7	7.3	13.4	13.6	7.4%	8.2%
Campbell	8.7	7.3	15.6	13.4	7.8%	7.5%
NC-Asheville	8.2	7.8	14.5	15.5	5.6%	5.8%
Charl South	8.2	7.8	15.0	14.0	5.4%	5.9%
SC Upstate	5.8	11.2	11.0	20.0	0.8%	0.8%
Presbyterian	5.5	10.5	11.6	19.4	0.6%	0.9%
Longwood	4.4	11.6	10.6	20.4	0.2%	0.4%

Big Ten Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Michigan St	13.2	6.8	21.2	8.8	21.8%	19.5%
Michigan	12.2	7.8	20.5	9.5	15.5%	13.2%
Wisconsin	12.1	7.9	19.0	10.0	13.3%	12.1%
Purdue	12.0	8.0	19.1	9.9	12.8%	13.0%
Indiana	10.9	9.1	19.3	11.7	7.1%	7.4%
Iowa	10.9	9.1	19.5	10.5	7.0%	7.6%
Ohio State	10.7	9.3	19.2	11.8	5.6%	6.4%
Nebraska	10.6	9.4	17.5	11.5	6.0%	6.6%
Maryland	9.9	10.1	18.9	12.1	4.8%	5.7%
Penn State	9.1	10.9	16.2	13.8	2.9%	3.2%
Northwestern	9.0	11.0	16.4	12.6	1.9%	2.9%
Minnesota	7.6	12.4	15.6	15.4	0.8%	1.3%
Illinois	7.1	12.9	12.7	16.3	0.6%	1.0%
Rutgers	4.8	15.2	10.9	19.1	0.1%	0.2%

Big West Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
UC Irvine	11.9	4.1	20.8	9.2	42.6%	36.2%
UC Davis	10.1	5.9	18.3	11.7	17.0%	17.3%
CS Fullerton	9.7	6.3	15.4	12.6	14.3%	15.0%
UCSB	9.4	6.6	19.0	11.0	12.8%	13.0%
Lg Beach St	8.4	7.6	14.7	16.3	6.1%	7.6%
Hawaii	8.2	7.8	15.1	10.9	5.5%	7.3%
UC Riverside	5.9	10.1	12.2	18.8	0.9%	1.9%
Cal Poly	5.5	10.5	11.5	18.5	0.7%	1.5%
Cal St Nrdge	2.8	13.2	6.0	24.0	0.0%	0.1%

CAA Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Northeastrn	14.0	4.0	20.3	7.7	55.6%	42.7%
Col Charlestn	10.5	7.5	17.8	11.2	9.8%	11.6%
Wm & Mary	10.4	7.6	16.7	13.3	10.9%	12.0%
Hofstra	10.3	7.7	18.6	12.4	9.2%	11.1%
NC-Wilmgton	9.2	8.8	16.3	14.7	5.2%	7.0%
James Mad	8.4	9.6	16.6	14.4	3.0%	4.9%
Towson	8.1	9.9	14.1	13.9	2.8%	4.4%
Delaware	7.6	10.4	15.2	15.8	2.2%	3.4%
Elon	7.0	11.0	14.1	16.9	1.2%	2.5%
Drexel	4.5	13.5	9.4	21.6	0.1%	0.4%

CUSA Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
W Kentucky	12.8	5.2	20.1	8.9	37.6%	33.4%
Old Dominion	11.6	6.4	18.6	10.4	18.7%	15.8%
Middle Tenn	11.3	6.7	17.8	11.2	13.0%	14.8%
Marshall	10.5	7.5	17.9	13.1	8.6%	10.3%
LA Tech	10.2	7.8	18.6	12.4	8.1%	7.2%
North Texas	9.8	8.2	18.9	12.1	5.6%	5.0%
UAB	9.7	8.3	17.5	11.5	3.9%	5.9%
TX-San Ant	8.5	9.5	14.3	13.7	1.3%	2.3%
TX El Paso	8.3	9.7	13.6	14.4	1.0%	1.8%
S Mississippi	8.0	10.0	13.9	15.1	1.5%	1.7%
Florida Intl	7.9	10.1	16.2	14.8	0.6%	1.3%
Fla Atlantic	6.6	11.4	11.8	17.2	0.1%	0.3%
Charlotte	5.9	12.1	9.6	18.4	0.1%	0.2%
Rice	4.9	13.1	10.3	20.7	0.0%	0.1%

Horizon League Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Wright State	12.5	5.5	19.8	10.2	32.2%	28.0%
N Kentucky	12.3	5.7	20.9	10.1	30.4%	26.4%
IL-Chicago	9.9	8.1	15.5	15.5	9.9%	10.8%
WI-Grn Bay	9.4	8.6	13.9	16.1	7.1%	8.3%
Oakland	9.3	8.7	15.3	16.7	6.9%	8.4%
IUPUI	8.9	9.1	14.7	15.3	5.3%	6.6%
WI-Milwkee	8.6	9.4	13.6	16.4	4.2%	5.6%
Cleveland St	7.9	10.1	13.6	17.4	2.7%	3.9%
Youngs St	5.7	12.3	10.1	20.9	0.7%	1.1%
Detroit	5.5	12.5	7.4	22.6	0.5%	0.9%

Ivy Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Harvard	9.9	4.1	18.9	9.1	35.4%	28.1%
U Penn	9.7	4.3	17.4	9.6	31.2%	26.0%
Yale	8.6	5.4	16.3	10.7	17.8%	28.6%
Princeton	7.7	6.3	14.8	12.2	9.7%	9.8%
Brown	5.7	8.3	14.6	15.4	2.3%	3.0%
Columbia	5.7	8.3	12.3	14.7	2.3%	2.8%
Cornell	4.6	9.4	11.4	18.6	0.9%	1.1%
Dartmouth	4.2	9.8	10.7	17.3	0.5%	0.7%

MAAC Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Rider	13.0	5.0	19.5	9.5	38.0%	30.4%
Iona	12.0	6.0	17.1	10.9	22.3%	19.7%
Canisius	11.1	6.9	15.8	12.2	14.3%	14.5%
Monmouth	10.8	7.2	15.1	13.9	11.8%	12.6%
St Peters	10.0	8.0	16.1	13.9	7.2%	7.6%
Fairfield	7.6	10.4	12.2	17.8	1.8%	2.7%
Niagara	7.4	10.6	12.5	17.5	1.3%	2.4%
Quinnipiac	7.2	10.8	12.5	16.5	1.2%	2.2%
Siena	7.1	10.9	11.0	19.0	1.0%	5.4%
Manhattan	6.5	11.5	10.7	19.3	0.6%	1.2%
Marist	6.5	11.5	10.1	18.9	0.5%	1.3%

MAC Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Buffalo	13.6	4.4	21.4	8.6	48.7%	36.5%
Ball State	10.9	7.1	17.2	11.8	12.0%	12.8%
Toledo	10.8	7.2	18.5	10.5	12.9%	13.6%
E Michigan	10.0	8.0	17.8	13.2	7.8%	9.7%
Kent State	9.4	8.6	18.0	13.0	5.3%	6.8%
Ohio	8.7	9.3	15.6	14.4	3.6%	5.0%
Akron	8.2	9.8	15.3	13.7	2.5%	3.6%
Central Mich	8.2	9.8	15.3	12.7	2.3%	3.7%
N Illinois	7.4	10.6	14.3	16.7	1.7%	2.6%
Miami (OH)	7.0	11.0	12.7	16.3	1.3%	2.1%
Bowling Grn	7.0	11.0	13.2	15.8	1.1%	1.9%
W Michigan	6.6	11.4	12.7	17.3	0.9%	1.6%

MEAC Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Norfolk St	11.4	4.6	16.1	11.9	33.4%	26.5%
NC Central	10.8	5.2	16.1	12.9	21.5%	20.3%
Howard	10.1	5.9	15.8	14.2	16.5%	16.6%
Beth-Cook	9.5	6.5	15.1	14.9	11.9%	13.4%
Morgan St	8.4	7.6	12.6	16.4	5.4%	6.2%
Maryland ES	7.4	8.6	10.1	19.9	2.4%	3.9%
NC A&T	7.3	8.7	11.0	19.0	2.1%	3.0%
S Car State	7.2	8.8	11.0	21.0	2.7%	3.5%
Savannah St	6.6	9.4	9.0	21.0	1.8%	2.2%
Coppin State	6.5	9.5	7.6	23.4	1.4%	2.1%
Delaware St	5.5	10.5	7.4	20.6	0.6%	1.1%
Florida A&M	5.2	10.8	7.9	23.1	0.5%	1.0%

Mountain West Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Nevada	15.4	2.6	25.5	4.5	65.9%	53.1%
San Diego St	12.9	5.1	21.7	7.3	17.5%	18.2%
Fresno St	11.0	7.0	18.6	9.4	5.7%	7.8%
New Mexico	10.5	7.5	17.9	11.1	4.4%	5.9%
Boise State	10.5	7.5	17.7	11.3	3.8%	5.4%
UNLV	9.3	8.7	15.5	12.5	1.9%	7.2%
Utah State	7.9	10.1	14.4	15.6	0.5%	1.2%
Wyoming	7.5	10.5	12.6	15.4	0.2%	0.6%
Colorado St	6.2	11.8	11.9	17.1	0.1%	0.4%
Air Force	5.2	12.8	9.8	18.2	0.0%	0.1%
San Jose St	2.6	15.4	6.4	21.6	0.0%	0.0%

MVC Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Loyola-Chi	11.8	6.2	20.7	9.3	27.0%	23.1%
Illinois St	11.6	6.4	18.1	9.9	25.0%	21.7%
Valparaiso	10.9	7.1	17.1	10.9	17.9%	16.8%
N Iowa	9.6	8.4	16.2	12.8	9.3%	10.2%
S Illinois	9.2	8.8	16.3	13.7	7.7%	8.6%
Bradley	8.1	9.9	16.1	13.9	4.0%	5.5%
Missouri St	8.0	10.0	15.2	14.8	3.4%	4.9%
Indiana St	7.3	10.7	12.7	15.3	2.7%	3.8%
Evansville	7.1	10.9	14.3	16.7	2.0%	3.3%
Drake	6.3	11.7	12.7	17.3	1.1%	2.1%

Northeast Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
St Fran (PA)	12.4	5.6	16.5	11.5	33.0%	31.0%
Wagner	11.0	7.0	15.1	12.9	18.1%	17.7%
Rob Morris	10.8	7.2	16.0	14.0	16.3%	16.1%
LIU-Brooklyn	10.4	7.6	15.6	13.4	13.0%	13.2%
F Dickinson	9.4	8.6	14.6	15.4	8.2%	8.7%
St Fran (NY)	7.7	10.3	11.5	17.5	3.0%	3.5%
Sacred Hrt	7.7	10.3	11.9	19.1	2.7%	3.4%
Central Conn	7.3	10.7	11.2	18.8	2.5%	2.7%
Bryant	7.2	10.8	10.1	18.9	2.3%	2.5%
Mt St Marys	6.1	11.9	9.1	20.9	0.9%	1.2%

Ohio Valley Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Belmont	13.0	5.0	18.9	10.1	31.1%	30.0%
Murray St	12.9	5.1	19.6	9.4	29.4%	25.3%
Jksnville St	11.3	6.7	18.2	11.8	14.7%	14.2%
Austin Peay	10.6	7.4	17.4	12.6	9.9%	10.0%
Morehead St	9.3	8.7	13.8	15.2	5.6%	7.0%
TN State	8.6	9.4	14.1	15.9	2.4%	3.6%
TN Martin	8.2	9.8	13.6	15.4	2.6%	3.2%
TN Tech	7.7	10.3	14.0	17.0	1.8%	2.2%
SE Missouri	7.1	10.9	13.0	18.0	0.9%	1.4%
E Kentucky	6.9	11.1	11.2	17.8	1.0%	1.6%
E Illinois	6.5	11.5	11.6	19.4	0.4%	0.8%
SIU Edward	5.9	12.1	10.7	18.3	0.3%	0.6%

Pac-12 Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Oregon	12.2	5.8	21.5	8.5	25.6%	23.7%
Arizona St	11.9	6.1	20.3	9.7	20.7%	19.0%
UCLA	11.3	6.7	20.4	9.6	16.4%	14.4%
Washington	10.9	7.1	19.5	11.5	11.9%	11.0%
USC	9.9	8.1	18.3	11.7	7.6%	8.0%
Arizona	9.7	8.3	17.1	11.9	6.4%	7.6%
Utah	8.6	9.4	15.1	12.9	3.9%	4.7%
Oregon St	8.4	9.6	15.5	12.5	3.1%	4.8%
Colorado	8.3	9.7	15.5	12.5	3.2%	4.2%
Stanford	7.1	10.9	13.0	16.0	1.0%	1.8%
California	5.4	12.6	12.1	17.9	0.3%	0.6%
Wash State	4.4	13.6	11.9	18.1	0.0%	0.2%

Patriot Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Bucknell	12.0	6.0	15.9	12.1	32.5%	29.4%
Lehigh	10.8	7.2	15.4	13.6	18.3%	18.0%
Army	9.9	8.1	17.3	13.7	11.3%	11.8%
Colgate	9.8	8.2	15.5	15.5	10.8%	11.2%
Holy Cross	9.0	9.0	13.2	16.8	8.2%	8.4%
Boston U	8.9	9.1	15.0	16.0	6.8%	7.3%
Navy	8.2	9.8	12.6	16.4	4.3%	5.0%
American	7.8	10.2	12.7	16.3	3.9%	4.2%
Lafayette	7.3	10.7	11.9	17.1	2.8%	3.2%
Loyola-MD	6.2	11.8	10.1	19.9	1.2%	1.5%

SEC Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Kentucky	12.6	5.4	23.1	7.9	27.2%	25.1%
Tennessee	12.3	5.7	22.7	7.3	23.9%	20.7%
Auburn	11.2	6.8	20.5	8.5	13.7%	12.7%
Florida	10.9	7.1	18.8	10.2	11.7%	12.3%
Miss State	10.3	7.7	19.8	10.2	8.3%	8.8%
Texas A&M	9.6	8.4	19.1	11.9	4.7%	5.2%
LSU	8.3	9.7	16.8	12.2	2.1%	2.9%
Alabama	8.3	9.7	15.5	13.5	2.5%	3.3%
S Carolina	7.9	10.1	16.0	14.0	1.4%	2.3%
Georgia	7.6	10.4	15.6	13.4	1.4%	1.9%
Missouri	7.6	10.4	14.8	13.2	1.2%	1.8%
Arkansas	6.9	11.1	15.6	15.4	0.6%	1.0%
Vanderbilt	6.6	11.4	15.2	15.8	0.9%	1.3%
Mississippi	5.9	12.1	13.2	16.8	0.3%	0.6%

Southern Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Wofford	13.4	4.6	21.0	10.0	33.4%	30.2%
NC-Grnsboro	13.3	4.7	22.3	8.7	31.2%	27.9%
Furman	12.4	5.6	20.2	9.8	20.8%	20.5%
E Tenn St	11.1	6.9	17.2	11.8	11.0%	12.6%
Mercer	8.6	9.4	14.1	15.9	2.3%	3.8%
Chattanooga	6.6	11.4	11.6	18.4	0.4%	1.1%
Samford	6.5	11.5	12.8	18.2	0.3%	1.2%
Citadel	6.3	11.7	11.9	17.1	0.4%	1.1%
W Carolina	6.3	11.7	9.5	20.5	0.2%	1.0%
VA Military	5.5	12.5	11.8	18.2	0.2%	0.6%

Southland Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Ste F Austin	15.2	2.8	22.9	6.1	68.3%	56.6%
Nicholls St	10.9	7.1	17.1	12.9	8.4%	8.5%
Lamar	10.8	7.2	18.5	12.5	6.9%	9.0%
Sam Hous St	9.5	8.5	15.7	14.3	3.5%	5.5%
SE Louisiana	9.4	8.6	14.9	16.1	2.7%	4.1%
Abl Christian	9.2	8.8	16.6	14.4	2.5%	4.2%
McNeese St	8.9	9.1	14.0	16.0	1.7%	3.1%
New Orleans	8.8	9.2	12.6	15.4	2.0%	2.6%
TX A&M-CC	8.8	9.2	15.3	15.7	1.7%	2.8%
Central Ark	8.0	10.0	12.4	18.6	1.3%	2.1%
Houston Bap	7.3	10.7	10.8	18.2	0.7%	1.2%
Incar Word	5.2	12.8	9.6	19.4	0.1%	0.2%
NW State	5.1	12.9	9.9	21.1	0.1%	0.2%

Summit Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
S Dakota St	12.5	3.5	21.8	7.2	50.8%	41.8%
South Dakota	11.2	4.8	17.6	8.4	28.0%	26.6%
IPFW	9.3	6.7	18.9	12.1	9.3%	11.2%
N Dakota St	8.6	7.4	14.2	13.8	5.9%	8.1%
Denver	7.7	8.3	14.6	15.4	3.3%	5.2%
Neb Omaha	6.8	9.2	12.0	17.0	1.4%	3.2%
North Dakota	5.6	10.4	12.2	16.8	0.6%	1.5%
Oral Roberts	5.6	10.4	10.2	20.8	0.6%	1.6%
W Illinois	4.6	11.4	9.7	18.3	0.1%	0.8%

Sun Belt Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
LA Lafayette	13.4	4.6	21.3	7.7	39.1%	32.9%
Georgia St	12.6	5.4	19.5	9.5	28.6%	27.9%
S Alabama	11.2	6.8	20.5	10.5	11.7%	13.0%
GA Southern	9.5	8.5	15.4	13.6	4.8%	6.7%
App State	9.2	8.8	15.6	13.4	4.6%	5.3%
Troy	8.6	9.4	14.2	14.8	2.7%	3.5%
LA Monroe	8.4	9.6	14.5	15.5	3.0%	3.6%
Texas State	8.1	9.9	16.1	14.9	2.0%	2.5%
TX-Arlington	7.8	10.2	12.3	18.7	1.7%	2.0%
Coastal Car	7.0	11.0	12.8	17.2	1.0%	1.5%
AR Lit Rock	6.5	11.5	12.6	18.4	0.6%	0.9%
Arkansas St	5.8	12.2	11.1	19.9	0.3%	0.4%

SWAC Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
TX Southern	12.7	5.3	14.9	15.1	38.8%	31.8%
Grambling St	10.9	7.1	15.4	14.6	16.5%	16.7%
Prairie View	10.7	7.3	13.8	17.2	14.7%	15.2%
Southern	9.6	8.4	12.0	18.0	8.6%	9.5%
Alabama St	9.3	8.7	12.0	16.0	7.0%	8.5%
Jackson St	9.0	9.0	12.1	17.9	6.3%	7.5%
Ark Pine Bl	8.6	9.4	11.0	20.0	4.9%	6.2%
Miss Val St	6.9	11.1	9.1	22.9	1.6%	2.5%
Alcorn State	6.6	11.4	11.2	18.8	1.2%	2.1%
Alab A&M	5.7	12.3	7.2	23.8	0.7%	0.0%

WAC Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
N Mex State	12.2	3.8	21.8	8.2	43.3%	38.6%
Grd Canyon	11.2	4.8	18.0	10.0	26.1%	25.7%
Utah Val St	10.7	5.3	18.9	11.1	19.3%	20.1%
CS Bakersfld	8.6	7.4	14.7	13.3	5.6%	7.9%
California Baptist	7.4	8.6	14.0	14.0	2.2%	0.0%
Seattle	7.2	8.8	15.6	15.4	1.9%	3.8%
UMKC	6.8	9.2	11.2	18.8	1.4%	2.8%
TX-Pan Am	5.0	11.0	11.6	21.4	0.2%	0.9%
Chicago St	2.9	13.1	4.9	24.1	0.0%	0.2%

WCC Projected Standings	Conference		Overall		Conference Odds
Team	W	L	W	L	Reg	Tourn
Gonzaga	13.9	2.1	24.4	4.6	68.5%	58.7%
St Marys	11.4	4.6	22.0	8.0	15.9%	19.1%
BYU	10.8	5.2	20.7	10.3	11.7%	14.6%
San Diego	8.1	7.9	16.1	13.9	1.8%	3.1%
San Fransco	7.4	8.6	16.0	14.0	0.9%	2.0%
Pacific	6.7	9.3	15.3	15.7	0.4%	1.0%
Loyola Mymt	6.7	9.3	14.6	15.4	0.5%	1.0%
Pepperdine	5.4	10.6	12.3	15.7	0.1%	0.2%
Santa Clara	4.9	11.1	12.3	17.7	0.1%	0.2%
Portland	4.8	11.2	13.4	17.6	0.0%	0.1%