2015-16 College Basketball Preseason Projected Standings & Win Totals

In the wee hours of Thursday morning we published our 2015-2016 college basketball preseason ratings, which means we now have full preseason projections for all teams, including:

This is all data-driven, and automated, so it will update every day throughout the season.

Below you’ll find our full conference standings projections, along with projected regular season records, and each team’s odds of winning their conference regular season and conference tournament.

2015-16 TeamRankings College Basketball Preseason Standings & Projections

For a lot more info on any team, click their name to be taken to their season projections page (and once there, be sure to check out the Bracketology link in the Team Menu at the top of the page). Or, check out our projections hubs listed above.

Need a refresher on what info you can find in our automated bracketology projections, and how we created them? Check out our original post Introducing Our New Algorithmic Bracketology Projections and our review of what’s in our NCAA tournament bracket prediction pages.

[Note: Overall regular season record projections account for only already-scheduled games, so will be missing some early season tournament games where opponents have yet to be determined.]

2015-2016 TeamRankings Preseason College Basketball Conference Projections
America East Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Stony Brook13.62.422.36.752.1%50.1%
Vermont12.43.621.28.828.9%28.9%
Albany10.75.319.911.111.9%12.5%
N Hampshire9.56.516.312.75.7%6.6%
Hartford6.59.512.318.70.9%1.1%
Binghamton5.610.49.719.30.2%0.5%
Massachusetts Lowell5.410.68.520.50.2%0.0%
Maine4.711.38.320.70.2%0.2%
Maryland BC3.612.46.623.40.0%0.1%
American Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
S Methodist13.64.422.86.227.8%0.0%
Connecticut13.24.821.67.424.7%30.4%
Cincinnati13.05.022.47.621.5%28.2%
Tulsa11.86.219.38.711.1%17.4%
Memphis11.26.821.49.69.3%13.2%
Temple9.88.215.312.74.8%7.5%
Houston6.012.013.415.60.4%1.2%
E Carolina5.512.512.417.60.1%0.8%
S Florida5.212.810.420.60.1%0.5%
Central FL5.013.010.218.80.2%0.4%
Tulane4.813.211.719.30.0%0.4%
Atlantic 10 Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
VCU12.35.721.28.818.7%17.9%
Davidson12.35.720.78.318.6%17.2%
Geo Wshgtn12.06.021.78.316.0%15.9%
Rhode Island11.96.121.48.613.7%14.0%
Dayton11.56.519.09.013.1%10.9%
Richmond10.87.218.710.39.3%10.0%
St Josephs8.89.215.914.12.7%3.5%
St Bonavent8.39.715.813.23.0%2.9%
U Mass8.29.815.413.61.8%2.5%
La Salle7.910.114.414.61.6%2.6%
Duquesne6.111.912.916.10.4%1.0%
Saint Louis6.012.013.116.90.6%0.9%
Geo Mason5.212.811.417.60.3%0.6%
Fordham4.613.412.017.00.2%0.3%
ACC Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
N Carolina13.94.124.55.527.4%25.2%
Duke13.74.324.45.628.5%24.2%
Virginia13.24.821.56.520.1%18.4%
Notre Dame10.67.419.09.04.8%5.5%
Miami (FL)10.27.818.79.34.3%5.2%
Louisville9.88.221.010.04.5%6.1%
Pittsburgh9.58.520.410.63.1%3.8%
Syracuse9.28.818.310.71.9%3.1%
NC State8.39.718.411.61.6%2.6%
Florida St8.19.915.412.61.2%1.9%
Clemson8.010.016.412.61.3%1.7%
GA Tech7.710.317.312.71.0%1.7%
Wake Forest5.812.211.516.50.1%0.4%
VA Tech4.513.513.116.90.1%0.2%
Boston Col2.415.68.920.10.0%0.0%
Atlantic Sun Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
N Florida10.73.320.011.043.7%42.2%
NJIT9.84.217.412.627.8%27.5%
SC Upstate8.06.017.014.010.1%11.1%
Fla Gulf Cst7.96.115.314.79.3%10.6%
Lipscomb6.57.512.518.54.7%5.1%
Jacksonville5.68.412.218.82.8%3.1%
Stetson4.69.49.319.71.3%0.0%
Kennesaw St2.911.15.122.90.3%0.4%
Big 12 Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Kansas14.23.823.95.142.6%35.5%
Oklahoma11.86.219.88.215.1%15.8%
Iowa State11.46.621.48.613.5%14.0%
Texas10.97.119.89.29.7%11.1%
Baylor10.77.321.89.29.4%10.4%
W Virginia9.78.319.310.76.1%7.4%
Oklahoma St8.89.217.811.23.3%4.8%
Texas Tech4.413.610.617.40.2%0.4%
Kansas St4.213.811.918.10.1%0.4%
TX Christian3.914.112.018.00.1%0.3%
Big East Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Villanova13.94.123.86.240.6%33.7%
Butler12.06.020.57.519.3%18.6%
Georgetown11.46.620.89.214.2%14.8%
Xavier11.26.819.18.913.9%14.2%
Creighton8.59.517.412.63.9%5.1%
Providence8.49.616.512.53.4%4.7%
Marquette8.010.017.312.72.3%4.1%
Seton Hall7.710.314.913.12.0%3.6%
DePaul5.013.010.417.60.3%0.9%
St Johns3.914.110.418.60.1%0.4%
Big Sky Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Montana13.14.918.210.829.6%24.0%
Weber State12.75.317.611.424.0%20.5%
E Washingtn12.15.918.612.418.4%17.6%
N Arizona9.58.512.016.05.6%7.7%
Idaho9.48.615.915.15.4%6.7%
Portland St9.09.013.715.35.7%6.5%
Sac State8.79.312.616.44.3%5.8%
S Utah7.910.111.217.82.8%3.9%
N Colorado7.610.411.017.02.0%3.1%
Montana St6.411.69.219.80.9%1.8%
North Dakota6.111.99.119.91.0%1.4%
Idaho State5.512.58.521.50.3%0.9%
Big South Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Coastal Car14.63.420.46.649.5%41.4%
High Point12.95.119.39.724.9%22.9%
Winthrop9.78.315.113.96.4%7.6%
NC-Asheville9.68.413.714.34.8%6.2%
Gard-Webb9.28.813.215.84.7%5.8%
Radford8.49.612.216.82.7%4.6%
Charl South8.19.911.317.72.6%4.0%
Campbell7.810.214.314.72.1%3.1%
Longwood7.410.612.218.81.5%2.4%
Presbyterian6.211.810.618.40.6%1.3%
Liberty5.013.07.523.50.2%0.6%
Big Ten Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Indiana12.85.222.36.721.1%17.0%
Michigan St12.75.322.36.720.7%17.1%
Maryland12.35.722.67.417.3%18.2%
Purdue10.87.220.79.38.4%9.2%
Michigan10.87.219.79.38.0%8.6%
Ohio State10.67.421.010.07.4%8.0%
Wisconsin10.27.820.010.07.4%9.1%
Illinois9.78.319.810.24.6%5.3%
Iowa9.09.016.811.23.0%4.3%
Northwestern7.210.816.613.40.8%1.2%
Minnesota7.110.914.813.21.1%1.4%
Nebraska5.512.513.216.80.2%0.3%
Penn State4.913.112.517.50.2%0.3%
Rutgers2.515.58.821.20.0%0.0%
Big West Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
UCSB10.35.716.712.321.9%20.1%
Hawaii10.25.817.98.120.8%19.4%
UC Irvine10.15.916.311.719.7%18.6%
Cal Poly9.96.116.411.616.7%17.4%
Lg Beach St8.87.212.416.612.4%11.9%
UC Riverside6.99.116.215.83.6%5.1%
UC Davis6.49.612.616.43.0%4.0%
CS Fullerton5.310.710.518.51.2%2.4%
Cal St Nrdge4.012.08.821.20.7%1.1%
CAA Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Hofstra12.75.319.28.832.0%26.2%
Wm & Mary11.66.417.911.120.5%19.0%
Northeastrn11.26.816.613.417.4%16.4%
James Mad10.17.918.212.811.1%11.7%
Delaware8.49.613.115.95.0%6.4%
NC-Wilmgton8.29.814.514.54.3%5.8%
Drexel8.19.911.615.44.1%5.5%
Towson7.410.613.415.62.8%4.2%
Col Charlestn6.211.810.818.21.5%2.5%
Elon6.111.910.117.91.4%2.3%
CUSA Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Old Dominion14.04.021.58.530.6%20.5%
UAB13.54.522.17.921.7%37.2%
LA Tech13.34.722.48.624.2%15.5%
Middle Tenn11.86.217.011.010.7%10.2%
TX El Paso10.67.418.510.54.6%5.4%
W Kentucky8.49.613.815.22.1%2.8%
Rice8.19.914.316.71.2%1.9%
Charlotte7.710.312.416.61.3%1.6%
Marshall7.610.412.018.01.4%2.0%
Fla Atlantic7.011.011.119.91.0%1.2%
TX-San Ant6.611.411.418.60.3%0.7%
S Mississippi6.111.99.819.20.4%0.0%
Florida Intl5.812.211.919.10.2%0.6%
North Texas5.412.611.219.80.2%0.3%
Horizon League Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Valparaiso15.62.424.96.168.1%56.7%
WI-Grn Bay11.07.018.512.59.9%11.8%
Detroit9.98.115.713.35.9%7.8%
Oakland9.78.314.915.15.4%7.2%
Wright State9.58.516.414.64.2%6.2%
Cleveland St8.79.313.416.63.0%4.6%
WI-Milwkee8.59.514.214.82.5%4.1%
N Kentucky5.912.19.919.10.4%0.0%
Youngs St5.912.111.119.90.4%1.0%
IL-Chicago5.312.78.820.20.2%0.7%
Ivy Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Columbia10.13.922.58.535.2%0.0%
Princeton9.14.917.410.623.7%0.0%
Yale9.14.916.711.321.1%0.0%
Harvard7.36.713.614.48.9%0.0%
U Penn6.08.013.214.84.5%0.0%
Dartmouth5.78.312.515.54.0%0.0%
Brown4.89.211.216.81.7%0.0%
Cornell3.910.18.619.40.8%0.0%
MAAC Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Iona16.63.421.57.557.7%42.4%
Rider12.57.517.212.811.3%12.4%
Monmouth11.58.514.414.67.9%9.1%
Manhattan11.58.515.613.47.4%8.9%
Canisius11.28.815.214.86.0%7.8%
Fairfield10.49.614.815.24.3%6.1%
Quinnipiac8.211.811.617.41.6%2.6%
Siena8.211.810.919.11.6%6.6%
St Peters8.012.011.617.41.4%2.4%
Niagara6.014.08.321.70.4%0.9%
Marist6.014.08.520.50.3%0.8%
MAC Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Central Mich12.65.421.37.727.6%23.4%
Akron11.76.320.210.818.8%17.7%
Kent State10.67.418.311.711.9%11.6%
Buffalo10.57.516.913.112.4%11.5%
Toledo9.28.816.712.36.5%7.5%
W Michigan8.69.416.015.04.8%5.6%
Ball State8.59.517.113.94.7%5.1%
Miami (OH)8.29.816.214.84.1%5.0%
E Michigan8.29.815.115.94.2%5.1%
Bowling Grn7.310.715.016.02.9%3.6%
N Illinois6.311.714.116.91.2%2.0%
Ohio6.211.811.716.30.9%1.9%
MEAC Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
NC Central13.22.821.08.046.3%34.2%
Norfolk St11.14.914.513.516.0%18.3%
Hampton10.35.714.613.411.6%13.6%
Howard9.07.014.315.75.2%7.5%
NC A&T8.97.113.116.96.4%6.5%
Maryland ES8.87.212.218.84.5%5.9%
Morgan St7.98.110.718.33.8%4.1%
Savannah St7.28.810.617.41.5%2.7%
Beth-Cook7.28.810.919.11.5%2.6%
Delaware St6.99.19.121.91.9%2.3%
S Car State6.89.210.219.81.2%2.0%
Florida A&M3.512.55.023.00.0%0.0%
Coppin State3.212.83.825.20.1%0.2%
MVC Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Wichita St16.21.824.73.373.7%60.4%
Illinois St11.66.419.310.77.6%10.7%
N Iowa11.66.417.711.37.3%10.0%
Evansville11.56.519.69.47.2%9.9%
Loyola-Chi9.09.015.212.82.1%3.5%
Indiana St8.79.314.513.51.5%3.0%
Missouri St6.411.610.817.20.2%0.9%
S Illinois6.211.812.917.10.3%0.9%
Drake5.612.410.917.10.1%0.6%
Bradley3.114.96.522.50.0%0.1%
Mountain West Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
San Diego St13.54.522.27.834.4%25.6%
Boise State12.06.020.38.717.9%14.6%
UNLV12.06.018.910.116.7%30.2%
New Mexico11.26.818.610.411.6%10.3%
Colorado St10.08.018.911.16.9%6.1%
Utah State10.08.017.411.66.8%6.0%
Fresno St8.99.116.414.63.3%3.7%
Wyoming7.310.714.315.71.1%1.6%
Nevada6.511.512.018.00.8%1.3%
Air Force5.812.212.618.40.4%0.6%
San Jose St1.816.24.123.90.0%0.0%
Northeast Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
LIU-Brooklyn11.07.016.912.118.9%18.0%
Mt St Marys10.97.115.114.917.0%16.4%
Rob Morris10.87.215.515.516.9%16.5%
St Fran (NY)10.47.615.515.513.5%13.8%
Bryant9.48.612.817.29.5%9.7%
Sacred Hrt9.38.712.516.58.4%9.0%
Wagner8.79.312.916.16.7%7.0%
St Fran (PA)8.79.311.817.26.8%6.9%
F Dickinson6.111.97.920.11.8%1.9%
Central Conn4.713.37.321.70.6%0.8%
Ohio Valley Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
EastWLWLRegTourn
Belmont13.12.921.09.047.4%40.5%
E Kentucky9.16.917.713.37.2%7.8%
Morehead St8.97.114.615.45.4%7.1%
TN State7.48.614.914.12.7%3.6%
TN Tech7.28.813.016.02.1%3.2%
Jksnville StConference11.8Overall21.5Conference Odds0.4%
WestWLWLRegTourn
Murray St11.74.318.28.823.1%23.2%
TN Martin8.57.515.315.76.0%5.9%
SE Missouri7.98.113.215.83.5%4.3%
E Illinois6.79.311.916.11.4%2.0%
Austin Peay6.29.810.819.20.7%1.4%
SIU Edward5.011.08.020.00.4%0.8%
Pac-12 Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Arizona14.33.724.34.742.8%33.9%
Utah12.55.521.57.519.7%17.6%
California11.86.221.88.214.6%15.8%
UCLA10.47.617.911.16.7%8.0%
Oregon10.37.720.710.36.8%9.1%
Oregon St8.59.516.013.02.4%4.4%
Colorado8.010.016.813.21.9%2.9%
USC7.810.216.013.02.0%2.7%
Arizona St7.510.514.615.41.6%2.3%
Stanford6.911.113.214.81.0%2.2%
Wash State5.312.712.115.90.3%0.6%
Washington4.513.510.517.50.2%0.4%
Patriot Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Lehigh12.25.817.111.926.9%25.2%
Boston U11.86.219.311.722.9%21.9%
Bucknell11.46.617.012.019.4%18.9%
Army10.08.016.412.69.4%10.1%
American9.38.713.415.67.8%8.1%
Loyola-MD8.49.612.616.44.9%5.5%
Lafayette7.310.711.317.72.7%3.4%
Holy Cross7.210.811.717.32.5%3.1%
Colgate6.211.89.319.71.6%1.8%
Navy6.211.811.119.91.7%1.9%
SEC Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Kentucky14.43.624.96.144.6%37.1%
LSU11.16.921.58.510.1%11.7%
Florida10.97.119.610.410.0%11.3%
Texas A&M10.77.319.19.98.8%8.2%
Vanderbilt10.67.418.510.58.4%9.7%
S Carolina10.08.019.19.96.6%5.7%
Georgia9.48.617.311.73.5%4.5%
Mississippi8.69.416.512.52.0%2.7%
Arkansas7.910.116.313.72.0%2.3%
Tennessee7.510.515.214.81.6%2.2%
Alabama7.210.813.414.61.0%1.8%
Miss State7.110.914.413.60.8%1.5%
Auburn5.912.111.017.00.5%0.9%
Missouri4.813.211.318.70.1%0.3%
Southern Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Wofford12.65.418.712.329.4%25.0%
Chattanooga12.15.918.711.324.2%21.6%
Mercer11.07.018.312.716.6%15.6%
NC-Grnsboro9.18.914.616.46.0%7.6%
W Carolina9.18.912.917.16.3%7.7%
Furman8.79.314.315.75.4%6.5%
E Tenn St8.69.413.617.45.2%6.2%
VA Military8.69.413.215.85.0%6.5%
Samford6.611.411.719.31.6%2.8%
Citadel3.714.37.423.60.3%0.5%
Southland Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Ste F Austin15.92.124.45.664.5%59.4%
NW State12.65.417.110.913.2%13.5%
Sam Hous St11.86.217.511.58.1%10.6%
TX A&M-CC10.97.115.913.14.9%7.3%
Incarnate Word9.48.613.215.82.0%0.0%
SE Louisiana9.48.613.017.02.4%2.6%
Lamar9.38.716.613.42.6%3.2%
New Orleans7.710.310.518.50.8%1.2%
McNeese St7.110.910.218.80.6%0.7%
Houston Bap7.011.011.218.80.3%1.0%
Nicholls St6.211.89.221.80.3%0.4%
Abilene Christian5.312.79.120.90.1%0.0%
Central Ark4.313.75.022.00.0%0.0%
SWAC Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
TX Southern13.74.315.914.138.0%32.6%
Jackson St11.86.215.915.116.9%17.1%
Southern11.76.315.614.416.8%16.6%
Alabama St10.77.313.016.010.6%11.8%
Alab A&M10.57.512.414.68.6%10.4%
Prairie View9.18.910.019.04.3%6.0%
Ark Pine Bl8.69.49.321.73.3%5.0%
Alcorn State7.310.78.619.41.3%0.0%
Miss Val St4.113.94.427.60.2%0.5%
Grambling St2.615.42.928.10.0%0.1%
Summit Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
S Dakota St12.73.321.27.850.6%40.7%
N Dakota St10.65.419.510.521.7%21.1%
Oral Roberts8.47.613.616.48.0%9.3%
Denver8.17.915.613.46.0%8.0%
IPFW7.38.714.116.94.3%5.8%
IUPUI6.49.69.920.12.5%4.0%
W Illinois6.49.610.816.22.8%4.1%
Neb Omaha6.29.811.717.32.4%3.7%
South Dakota5.910.111.020.01.7%3.3%
Sun Belt Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
LA Lafayette15.64.421.08.042.0%36.5%
Georgia St14.95.120.58.532.6%29.7%
LA Monroe10.69.414.415.65.5%7.1%
AR Lit Rock9.710.315.415.63.9%5.0%
TX-Arlington9.610.414.416.63.5%4.5%
Texas State9.510.514.914.13.7%4.7%
S Alabama9.011.013.316.72.7%3.5%
Arkansas St8.911.114.316.72.9%3.7%
App State8.211.812.019.01.6%2.6%
GA Southern7.712.311.918.11.2%1.9%
Troy6.313.710.120.90.5%0.9%
WCC Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
Gonzaga16.31.725.53.572.0%60.6%
BYU13.34.721.67.416.0%18.7%
Pepperdine11.46.617.19.97.0%9.5%
St Marys9.38.716.111.92.3%3.9%
San Diego7.710.312.214.80.7%1.8%
San Fransco7.210.814.314.70.5%1.4%
Pacific7.210.812.115.90.5%1.5%
Portland7.210.814.215.80.5%1.4%
Santa Clara6.511.511.416.60.3%1.0%
Loyola Mymt4.014.07.821.20.0%0.2%
WAC Projected StandingsConferenceOverallConference Odds
TeamWLWLRegTourn
N Mex State11.12.919.59.554.7%52.8%
Grand Canyon8.75.317.811.217.1%0.0%
CS Bakersfld7.76.313.915.110.5%14.6%
UMKC7.16.911.517.56.9%11.3%
Seattle6.57.512.315.75.0%8.8%
Utah Val St6.08.010.718.33.4%6.6%
Chicago St4.69.47.921.11.4%3.3%
TX-Pan Am4.29.87.222.81.1%2.7%